stockaxis

REC Ltd

Quarterly Result - Q4FY24

REC Ltd

Finance - NBFC

Current

CMP
Rs. 516.95
Rating:
Hold
April 30, 2024

Previous

Rating:
Hold

Stock Info

BSE
532955
NSE
RECLTD
Bloomberg
RECL:IN
Reuters
RECM.NS
Sector
Finance - NBFC
Face Value (Rs)
10
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
2,633
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
136374.67
52w H/L (Rs)
524.00 - 127.40
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
5,147,482

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 31-Mar)
%
Promoter
52.63
FIIs
19.91
DIIs
15.44
Public & Others
12.01
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
10.06
3.10
272.02
Sensex
0.63
4.70
21.40
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

REC Ltd Sensex
REC Ltd
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Financial Highlights:

Particulars (Rs. In cr) Q4FY24 Q4FY23 YoY (%) Q3FY24 QoQ (%)
Net Interest income 4272.00 3498.00 22.00% 4159.00 3.00%
Operating Profit 4436.00 3492.00 27.00% 4170.00 6.00%
PBT 5148.00 3811.00 35.00% 4114.00 25.00%
PAT 4017.00 3001.00 34.00% 3269.00 23.00%
Gross NPA (%) 2.71 3.42 (71bps) 2.78 (7bps)
Net NPA (%) 0.86 1.01 (15 bps) 0.82 4 bps
NIMs (%) 3.60 3.29 31 bps 3.61 ( 1 bps)

Source: Company Filings; stockaxis Research

Q4FY24 Result Highlights
REC Ltd (RECL) posted stellar earnings growth for the quarter ended Q4FY24. On a standalone basis, Net Interest Income exhibited robust growth of 25% YoY to Rs.4,263 cr. Total Income registered a strong growth of 31% YoY to Rs.4,738 cr. PBT saw a growth of 35% YoY to Rs.5,147 cr. PAT jumped 34% YoY to Rs.4,016 cr. Cost of funds declined marginally to 7.14%. NIMs improved 31bps to 3.6% YoY, underpinned by effective liability management with 180bp QoQ rise in foreign currency borrowings share priced at 6.4%, 74bps lower than overall cost of funds of ~7.1%. Loan book has grown at a healthy rate of 17% YoY. Disbursements witnessed a growth of 7% YoY to Rs.39,939 cr. The Q4 earnings growth was underpinned by ~INR 7.1bn provision write-backs on the back of two asset resolutions underway and spread uptick

On asset quality front, Gross NPAs saw an improvement of 71 bps (YoY) and 60 bps (QoQ) to 2.71% in Q4FY24 as compared to 3.42% in Q3FY23 and 2.78% in Q3FY24. Similarly, Net NPAs also exhibited an improvement to 0.86% in Q4FY24 as against 0.82% in Q3FY24 and 1.01% in Q4FY23.

Key Conference call takeaways

  • RECL saw a 38bps yield uptick and average cost of funds (CoF) declining 3bps QoQ with resultant spread improving 41bps to 2.89% in Q4FY24.
  • Q4 NIM was up 31bps to 3.6%; for FY24, NIM improved 19bps YoY. The company expects NIMs to sustain >3.5% in the long term.
  • Q4 saw provisions writebacks of Rs.7120cr, led by resolution underway of Lanco Amarkantak wherein processes have reached final stages with National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) order is in the offing. Recoveries from these accounts and based on rating agencies evaluation have led to write-backs.
  • Assets, such as Badreshwar and Nagai, are in the final stages and almost nine are heading toward resolution in FY25, for which 100% of provisions already are in place. The company also has carried out technical write-offs. So, management expects reversals in FY25. Assets, such as KSK Mahanadi, Sinnar and Hiranmay, are also in the final stages of resolution alongside a few small projects. Hence management expects nil NNPA in FY25.
  • RECL expects COF to come off further to 7% with expectation of rates declining by 50 bps in FY25. The same will be passed on to end-borrowers.
  • Notably, RECL did not add any NPA in the past nine quarters; the current stock of Rs.138bn of gross NPA is expected to get resolved in FY25.
  • RECL continues to focus on quality assets where borrower payments are assured.
  • With a GoI target of 94,000MW capacity installation under thermal coal, 74,000MW will come from the State governments. RECL targets at least 50% of this potential and given the surge in cost of coal-based power plants, ~INR 3tn funding opportunity is expected. Coal-based power projects financing opportunity has increased despite RE target of 500GW of which at least 30% of business potential will come to RECL.
  • The company pursues selective infra project financing and has been financing only those where revenue and cashflow is assured.
  • The company retains 15-18% growth guidance across cycles aiming for INR 10,000bn portfolio by FY30.
  • For infra assets (roads, highways, hospitals, refineries and ports), the interest rates vary in the range of 9.00- 10.25%. The company also has identified 10-11 cities where electric buses have become more prevalent to finance operators and original equipment manufacturers of electric buses.

Outlook & valuation

REC LTD posted a solid set of numbers in Q3FY24 driven by growth in the renewable energy segment. REC is engaged in financing projects/schemes of power generation (both conventional and renewable), transmission, distribution, rural electrification, system improvement, renovation, and modernization of power plants in both public and private sectors. We believe that REC is well-positioned to capture growth opportunities in financing the entire renewable value chain.  REC is a key beneficiary of the solar rooftop scheme. Management is upbeat, given growth guidance of 17% YoY, steady NIM at ~3.5%, and anticipated provisions reversal in FY25, which we believe signal a robust book value accretion and sustained earnings growth. At CMP of Rs.514, the stock is trading at 1.3x P/BV of FY26E. We recommend HOLD rating on the stock.

Standalone Financial statements

Profit & Loss statement

Particulars (Rs. In cr) Q4FY24 Q4FY23 YoY (%) Q3FY24 QoQ (%)
Interest Income 12168.00 9995.00 22.00% 11812.00 3.00%
Interest Expended 7896.00 6497.00 22.00% 7653.00 3.00%
Net Interest income 4272.00 3498.00 22.00% 4159.00 3.00%
Other Income 475.00 129.00 268.00% 188.00 153.00%
Total Income (Net of Finance Cost) 4747.00 3627.00 31.00% 4347.00 9.00%
Operating expenses 311.00 135.00 130.00% 177.00 76.00%
Operating Profit 4436.00 3492.00 27.00% 4170.00 6.00%
Provisions -712.00 -319.00 123.00% 56.00 NM
PBT 5148.00 3811.00 35.00% 4114.00 25.00%
Tax 1131.00 810.00 40.00% 845.00 34.00%
PAT 4017.00 3001.00 34.00% 3269.00 23.00%
Gross NPA (%) 2.71 3.42 (71bps) 2.78 (7bps)
Net NPA (%) 0.86 1.01 (15 bps) 0.82 4 bps
ROE (%) 24.06 21.34 272 bps 20.45 361 bps
NIMs (%) 3.60 3.29 31 bps 3.61 (1 bps)