stockaxis

Radico Khaitan Ltd

Quarterly Result - Q2FY25

Radico Khaitan Ltd

Breweries & Distilleries

Current

CMP
Rs. 2267.85
Rating:
Hold
October 24, 2024

Previous

Rating:
Hold

Stock Info

BSE
532497
NSE
RADICO
Bloomberg
RDCK:IN
Reuters
RADC.NS
Sector
Breweries & Distilleries
Face Value (Rs)
2
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
27
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
30129.30
52w H/L (Rs)
2332.70 - 1141.25
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
62,910

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Sep)
%
Promoter
40.24
FIIs
18.60
DIIs
24.70
Public & Others
16.45
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
6.83
33.54
92.75
Sensex
-5.71
-0.10
25.01
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

Radico Khaitan Ltd Sensex
Radico Khaitan Ltd
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Financial Highlights:

Particulars (Rs. in cr) Q2FY25 Q2FY24 YoY (%) Q1FY25 QoQ (%)
Net Revenues 1117.00 925.00 21.00% 1137.00 -2.00%
EBITDA 164.00 121.00 36.00% 150.00 9.00%
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.68% 13.08% 160 bps 13.19% 149 bps
PAT 81.00 62.00 33.00% 77.00 5.00%
EPS (Rs.) 6.03 4.85 24.00% 5.79 4.00%

Source: Company Filings; stockaxis Research

Q2FY25 Result Highlights
Radico Khaitan Ltd (RKL) displayed remarkable earnings growth for the quarter ended Q2FY25 with double-digit growth across all its key metrics. The company registered strong revenue growth of 21% YoY to Rs.1117 cr as compared to Rs.925 cr in the same quarter of the preceding fiscal. This was the sixth consecutive quarter of 20% plus topline growth. Total Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL) decreased by 2.5% whereas Prestige & Above category volume grew by 12.6%. Prestige & Above net revenue growth was 18% compared to Q2FY24. Revenue growth was mainly driven by an 18% yoy growth in the P&A segment (volume growth of 13%) and a 56% y-o-y growth in the non-IMFL business. Gross Margin during the quarter was 43.6% compared to 44.1% in Q2FY24 and 41.0% in Q1FY25. Gross Margin was impacted Y-o-Y basis due to significant foodgrain inflation offset by premiumization in the IMFL business. Gross Margin improved by 258 bps on a QoQ basis due to the ongoing premiumization, and a stable raw material and packaging material scenario. Operating profit grew by 36% YoY to Rs.164 cr while margins expanded 160 bps to 14.68% due to economies of scale. PAT surged 33% YoY to Rs.82 cr.

Within the IMFL business, the premium segment (Prestige & Above) category volume grew by 12.6% led by buoyant demand trends across product lines, especially in the luxury and ultra-luxury portfolio. In value terms, Prestige & Above category registered 18% growth as the company benefited from higher revenue contribution from export markets and price rises, which drove realisations up 5% YoY. IMFL realization increased by 9.7% on a YoY basis. Prestige & Above category account for 53.2% of the IMFL volume compared to 47.1% in Q2 of last year. The percentage of P&A is higher due to the significant degrowth in the regular category. Improvement in IMFL realization is due to a combination of price increases and continued premiumization. The regular & others segment reported a 12.3% y-o-y decline in revenue (volumes lower by 11.9%).

Radico Khaitan

Key Conference call takeaways

  • Radico Khaitan launched Rampur Indian Single Malt, Barrel Blush in the international market in Q2 and plans to launch it in the domestic market next year. The company is seeing good traction in Magic Moments Vodka, Royal Ranthambore, and After Dark Premium Whisky brands. Expect 15-18% volume growth in the P&A segment in FY2025.
  • Region-specific issues of price increase in Karnataka, portfolio rationalization in Kerala, and elections in Andra Pradesh led to 14% y-o-y decline in the Regular segment in H1. Management expects the segment to see mid-single digit growth going ahead.
  • With a policy change in Andhra Pradesh, the management expects to benefit from improving cash flows and options with retailers to choose brands. Volume and margins have seen improvement in Karnataka for premium brands.
  • Management has indicated that the gross margin improvement trajectory will continue as it expects prices of grain, maize, and rice to soften in the coming months, while glass bottle prices are likely to remain stable. RKL is targeting 125-150 bps y-o-y OPM improvement every year and aims for late-teens OPM in three years.
  • RKL launched Magic Moments Remix Pink Vodka in a 180 ml portable pack, which is seeing good acceptance. With vodka share lower in India at ~4% versus global share at ~20%+, management expects strong double-digit growth in this category in the coming years.
  • The company has incurred capex of Rs.956 crore on the Rampur Dual Feed, Sitapur Green Field, and other projects since April 2022.
  • Net debt of Rs.745 crore at Q2FY2025 increased by Rs.58 crore since March 31, 2024, on account of cyclical building up of inventory and state-specific issues.

Outlook & valuation

Radico Khaitan delivered yet another quarter of impressive earnings growth in Q2 driven by strong volume growth in the P&A segment. With consumers shifting to premium IMFL brands, RKL’s focus on improving the presence of each brand in key markets and the emergence of favourable liquor policies in key states would aid faster growth of branded liquor products in the near to medium term. The company expects double-digit volume growth in the P&A segment to be sustained in the medium term due to strong traction to its premium brands.

Focus on premiumisation and support of backward integration will drive consistent strong double-digit earnings growth in the coming years. We like the company’s focus on launching products in brown and white spirits, targeting the premium/luxury segment to consistently gain market share in key markets and outpace the industry. Margins have bottomed out and we should expect consistent improvement in profitability and cash flows in the coming years. The management has reiterated achieving a 15-16% operating margin for FY26 on account of softer grain prices & premium products. At a CMP of Rs.2339, the stock is trading at 58x FY26E. We maintain a HOLD rating on the stock.

Consolidated Financial statements

Profit & Loss statement

Particulars (Rs. in cr) Q2FY25 Q2FY24 YoY (%) Q1FY25 QoQ (%)
Revenue from operations 3907.00 3569.00 9.00% 4266.00 -8.00%
Excise duty on sales 2790.00 2644.00 6.00% 3129.00 -11.00%
Net Revenues 1117.00 925.00 21.00% 1137.00 -2.00%
COGS 629.00 517.00 22.00% 670.00 -6.00%
Gross Profit 488.00 408.00 20.00% 467.00 4.00%
Gross Margin (%) 43.69% 44.11% (42 bps) 41.07% 262 bps
Employee Benefit expenses 51.00 49.00 4.00% 50.00 2.00%
Other expenses 273.00 238.00 15.00% 267.00 2.00%
EBITDA 164.00 121.00 36.00% 150.00 9.00%
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.68% 13.08% 160 bps 13.19% 149 bps
Depreciation expenses 36.00 26.00 38.00% 33.00 9.00%
EBIT 128.00 95.00 35.00% 117.00 9.00%
Finance cost 19.00 12.00 58.00% 18.00 6.00%
Other Income 3.00 0.70 329.00% 4.00 -25.00%
Profit before share of profit/(loss) of JV 112.00 84.00 34.00% 103.00 9.00%
Share in profit/(loss) of JV -1.50 3.00 - 1.00 -250.00%
PBT 111.00 87.00 28.00% 102.00 9.00%
Tax expenses 30.00 21.00 43.00% 25.00 20.00%
PAT 81.00 62.00 33.00% 77.00 5.00%
EPS (Rs.) 6.03 4.85 24.00% 5.79 4.00%