stockaxis

REC Ltd

Quarterly Result - Q1FY25

REC Ltd

Finance - NBFC

Current

CMP
Rs. 553.80
Rating:
Hold
July 27, 2024

Previous

Rating:
Hold

Stock Info

BSE
532955
NSE
RECLTD
Bloomberg
RECL:IN
Reuters
RECM.NS
Sector
Finance - NBFC
Face Value (Rs)
10
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
2633
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
143418.55
52w H/L (Rs)
654.00 - 173.30
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
8,978,652

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Jun)
%
Promoter
52.63
FIIs
20.43
DIIs
14.68
Public & Others
12.26
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
21.43
36.93
260.65
Sensex
3.38
10.31
21.92
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

REC Ltd Sensex
REC Ltd
Source: Ace equity, stockaxis Research

Financial Highlights:

Particulars (Rs. In cr) Q1FY25 Q1FY24 YoY (%) Q4FY24 QoQ (%)
Interest Income 12500.00 10465.00 19.00% 12168.00 3.00%
Net Interest income 4479.00 3415.00 31.00% 4272.00 5.00%
NIMs (%) 3.64% 3.28% 36 bps 3.60% 4 bps
PAT 3443.00 2960.00 16.00% 4017.00 -14.00%
Gross NPA (%) 2.61% 3.28% 67 bps 2.71% 10 bps
Net NPA (%) 0.82% 0.97% 15 bps 0.86% 4 bps

Source: Company Filings; stockaxis Research

Q1FY25 Result Highlights
For the quarter ended Q1FY25, REC reported robust earnings growth driven by healthy loan growth. The disbursement has seen a growth of 28% from last year's Q1 disbursement of Rs.34,133 crores. Disbursements have reached the level of INR43,652 crores at the end of Q1 of this current financial year. The asset under management has seen a growth of 17%. You might have noticed that in FY'23, loan assets had increased by 13% from Rs.3,85,000 crores to Rs.4,35,000 crores. In Fy24, assets under management had grown at 17% from Rs.4,35,000 crores to Rs.5,09,000 crores. In Q1, they have maintaineda growth trajectory of 17%, and assets under management stand at Rs.5,29,739 crores. Net Interest Income surged by 30% to Rs.4479 cr on a standalone basis. Interest income on loan assets rose 19% YoY to Rs.12500 cr. Operating expenses jumped 35% YoY to Rs.217 cr while Pre-provisioning profit soared 27% YoY and 8% sequentially to Rs.4799 cr. PAT on a standalone basis climbed 16% to Rs.3663 cr.

The yield on interest bearing loan assets has increased from 9.82% last Q1 to this year 9.99%. The companyhas been able to reduce its average cost of funds by 18 basis points from last Q1, which was 7.23%, now average cost of funds is about 7.05%.The interest spread has also improved from 2.59% to 2.94%, as compared to Q1 of the last financial year. The net interest margin has also improved, last year Q1 it was 3.28%, and the current year's net interest margin stood at 3.64%. Return on net worth is about 19.51%, and debt-equity ratio is 6.27. The capital adequacy ratio is comfortable at 26.77%

In terms of asset quality, Gross NPA has come down by 7%.It is about 2.61% of total assets, while last year Q1 it was 3.28%. The net NPA has also come down from 0.97% to 0.82%.

Key Conference call takeaways

  • REC anticipates growth trajectory to remain in the range of 15-20% and is confident of maintaining 17% growth in the next 4 years. If this growth rate is maintained, the company will be able to double its AUM to about Rs.10 lakh cr by 2028-29
  • Two significant developments have happened as with regards asthe portfolio is concerned. The renewable energy sanctions, renewable energy portfolio has seen a growth of 59% as far as sanctions are concerned. In Q1, renewable sanctions were Rs.39,655 crores, while the disbursement saw a growth of 249%, disbursement was to the tune of Rs.5,351 crores from the renewable energy portfolio. About infrastructure logistics, sanctions have grown by 122% in Q1, which was about Rs.19,815 crores, and disbursement increased by 78% to about Rs.7,982 crores in Q1.
  • REC is confident of maintaining NIMs of more than 3.6% in the next 4-5 years.
  • Management anticipates a huge growth in the loan book about the renewable energy portfolio, which represents 8% of the total assets under management. It will grow substantially to about 30%by the year 2030. It will touch a figure of Rs.3 lakh crores from the current level of about Rs.39,000 crores.
  • REC hopes to cross Rs.1,90,000 crores of disbursement in the current financial, it may go up to Rs.2 lakh crore, also depending on project execution.Out of this, say Rs.1,90,000 or Rs.2 lakh crores that we are targeting within the current financial year, the transmission and distribution sector will constitute about 40%. Then renewable disbursement is going to increase substantially by about 20%. We are targeting a minimum of 20% will come from the renewable energy segment. The remaining will come from conventional generation and infrastructure logistics.
  • Management had done detailed one-on-one interaction with the renewable energy developers, OEM for the electric buses, and other technology providers also, and we have been able to sign MoUs worth Rs.2,85,000 crores in July 2023. After that, after signing these MoUs, we sanctioned Rs.1,36,516 crore projects, which covered the entire gamut of renewable energy categories like solar projects, we have sanctioned about Rs.20,956 crores, Solar model manufacturing was Rs.21,555 crores. Large hydro was Rs.32,450 crores. Then wind turbine manufacturing was about Rs.3,195 crores. The wind power project was Rs.3,453 crores. The hybrid solar wind was Rs.10,098 crores. Small hydro was Rs.837 crores. Pump storage projects were worth Rs.28,304 crores, and green hydrogen, and green ammonia projects, about Rs.8,000 crores we have sanctioned. Electric buses with associated infrastructure, we have sanctioned about Rs. 7,214 crores.

Outlook & valuation

REC Ltd posted a solid set of numbers in Q1FY25 driven by growth in the renewable energy segment. Rural Electrification Corporation Limited (REC), a NAVRATNA Central Public Sector Enterprise under the Ministry of Power. REC is engaged in financing projects/schemes of power generation (both conventional and renewable), transmission, distribution, rural electrification, system improvement, renovation, and modernization of power plants in both public and private sectors.It provides financial assistance to State Electricity Boards, State Government Departments, and Rural Electric Cooperatives for rural electrification projects sponsored by them. REC provides loan assistance to SEBs/State Power Utilities for investments in rural electrification schemes through its Corporate Office located at New Delhi and 17 field units (Project Offices), which are located in most of the States. We believe that REC is well-positioned to capture growth opportunities in financing the entire renewable value chain. REC is a key beneficiary of the solar rooftop scheme. Management is upbeat, given growth guidance of 17% YoY, steady NIM at ~3.5%, and anticipated provisions reversal in FY25, which we believe signal a robust book value accretion and sustained earnings growth.

REC is well positioned to deliver steady earnings growth in the coming quarters citing Strong Fundamentals and Profitable Business with Stable Margins leading to Strong Profitability, Experienced Management Team with Sector Expertise, Diversified Asset Base with robust Access to Diversified Funding Sources, Healthy Asset Quality with adequate provision coverage ratio, Occupies Strategic position in the growth and development of the Power and renewable Energy sector and creation of Green Energy Corridor, key beneficiary of the solar rooftop scheme. At CMP of Rs.559, the stock is trading at 2.14x P/BV of FY26E. We maintain a HOLD rating on the stock.

Standalone Financial statements

Profit & Loss statement

Particulars (Rs. In cr) Q1FY25 Q1FY24 YoY (%) Q4FY24 QoQ (%)
Interest Income 12500.00 10465.00 19.00% 12168.00 3.00%
Interest Expended 8021.00 7050.00 14.00% 7896.00 2.00%
Net Interest income 4479.00 3415.00 31.00% 4272.00 5.00%
NIMs (%) 3.64% 3.28% 36 bps 3.60% 4 bps
Other Income 537.00 515.00 4.00% 475.00 13.00%
Total Income 5016.00 3930.00 28.00% 4747.00 6.00%
Operating expenses 217.00 161.00 35.00% 311.00 -30.00%
Operating Profit 4799.00 3769.00 27.00% 4436.00 8.00%
Provisions 473.00 58.00 716.00% -712.00 -
PBT 4326.00 3711.00 17.00% 5148.00 -16.00%
Tax 883.00 751.00 18.00% 1131.00 -22.00%
PAT 3443.00 2960.00 16.00% 4017.00 -14.00%
Gross NPA (%) 2.61% 3.28% 67 bps 2.71% 10 bps
Net NPA (%) 0.82% 0.97% 15 bps 0.86% 4 bps