StockAxis

KEI Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result - Q3FY24

KEI Industries Ltd

Cable

Current

CMP
Rs. 3151.50
Rating:
Hold
January 23, 2024

Previous

Rating:
Hold

Stock Info

BSE
517569
NSE
KEI
Bloomberg
KEII:IN
Reuters
KEIN. NS
Sector
Cable
Face Value (Rs)
2
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
18
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
28873.20
52w H/L (Rs)
3418.85 - 1503.00
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
66,808

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 31-Dec)
%
Promoter
37.08
FIIs
30.95
DIIs
16.05
Public & Others
15.91
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
-1.46
18.60
96.79
Sensex
-1.35
8.98
15.47
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

KEI Industries Ltd Sensex
KEI Industries Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Financial Highlights:

Particulars (Rs Crores) Q3FY24 Q3FY23 YoY Q2FY24 QoQ
Revenue 2062.00 1784.00 16.00% 1947.00 6.00%
EBITDA 217.00 182.00 19.00% 204.00 6.00%
EBITDA Margin 11.00% 10.00% 31 bps 10.00% 5 bps
PAT 151.00 129.00 17.00% 140.00 7.00%
EPS 17.00 14.00 17.00% 16.00 7.00%

Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research

Q3FY24 Financial Performance
KEI Industries delivered yet another quarter of steady growth, despite its capacity constraints in cables. Consolidated net sales grew 15.55% YoY to Rs.2,062 crs driven by 14% YoY growth in its Cables & Wires business , led almost fully by volume growth (volume up 13% in Q3 and 22% in 9MFY24). Consolidated EBITDA witnessed a robust growth of 17% YoY to Rs.229 crs and EBITDA Margin has improved to 11.09% as against 10.98% YoY in Q3FY23. The company reported PAT of Rs.151 cr, an increase of 17% YoY driven by healthy volume growth and steady operational performance.

Domestic Institutional Cable sales Wire and Cable is Rs.556 crores in Q3FY24 as against Rs.630 crores last year. Domestic Institutional sales of extra high voltage cable stood at Rs.184 crores against Rs.93 crores previous year clocking a growth of 97%. Export sale in this quarter is Rs.284 crores, out of which, Cable is Rs.195 crores, which was Rs.103 crores last year. And overall, all products put together, the Export sale is Rs.284 crores. So the growth in the Export is 98%.

Total Cable Institutional sales contribution is 45% as against 46% in the previous year time period. Sales through distribution network grew by 16% YoY to Rs.949 crores in the third quarter against Rs.816 crores in the same period last year. The sales B2C sale, that is sales through distribution network, has contributed 46% in third quarter.

The sales in that EPC division other than Cable stand at Rs.146 crores as against Rs.95 crores last year. The growth is 53%. Out of the total sales of EPC, the EHV cables EPC sale is Rs.32 crores as against Rs.25 crores in the same quarter last year.

The sale of Stainless Steel Wire is Rs.46 crores against Rs.54 crores last year. Volume increased in the Cable division on the basis of production for consumption of metal in Q3 as compared to previous year. Same period is approximately 13%.

Key Concall Takeaways

  • Expansion fuelled by the robust development in infrastructure, construction, and real estate domains.
  • Cables surging in popularity as they capture a larger market share through extensive network expansion.
  • The cables sector is currently grappling with capacity limitations, operating at 95% utilization.
  • The wire segment boasts ample capacities, positioning it for robust and sustained growth.
  • Management is not witnessing any demand slowdown, hence does not expect the general elections to impact demand.
  • Capital expenditure in existing facilities is poised to propel a revenue surge of 16-17% over the next two years.
  • Investing in new projects provides a clear pathway for achieving a long-term Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 15%.
  • The revenue for EHV cables is expected to hold steady around Rs 600 cr until FY26, pending the commencement of operations at the new facility in Sanand, Gujarat.
  • The Chinchwada brownfield capital expenditure of Rs 110 cr for house wires, with a revenue potential ranging between Rs 800-900 cr, is set to achieve full operational status in phased stages by March 2025.
  • In 9MFY24, company has incurred a capex of Rs 308 crores. Company planes to incur capex of Rs 450 crores for FY24 and further capex of Rs 500 crores for FY25.
  • The management has affirmed its projection of achieving a revenue growth rate of 16-17% in the coming years, alongside an approximate 11% EBITDA margin targeted for both FY24 and FY25.
  • During Q3FY24, KEI achieved a utilization rate of 95% in cables and 70% in house wires. Persistent capacity constraints have prompted the company to embark on an aggressive expansion strategy to meet the escalating demand.
  • The company is poised to sustain its supply of cables to thermal projects, aligning with the government's strategy to augment coal-based power capacities in the coming years.

Outlook & valuation

KEI Industries delivered decent earnings growth in Q3 FY24, driven by the cables and wires business. KEI is on a healthy and sustainable growth trajectory as it is catering to diversified user industries, increasing its focus on the retail segment, strengthening its high margin EHV and carrying out capex to meet the rising demand. The company is a key beneficiary of increasing capex in power T&D, apart from housing and industrial capex. Considering the company’s robust orderbook positioning, increased capital expenditure for capacity expansion, expanding dealer network, expansion into export markets, and broadening of the customer base bode well for the company’s future growth prospects.

The Cables & Wires segment has a favourable outlook for the coming quarters, driven by government infrastructure projects and real estate. Strong domestic demand and china+1 opportunity in the export market are growth drivers for the company. OPM is expected to increase on account of operating leverage, increasing proportion of retails sales and exports in total revenues and higher sales of EHV cables post capacity expansion. The management has provided an optimistic demand outlook for both retail and institutional segments, driven by private capex and increased government spending, respectively.

At a CMP of Rs. 3,202, the stock is trading at 41x FY25E, which appears reasonable. Hence, we recommend HOLD rating on the stock.

Quarterly Financials

Particulars (Rs Crores) Q3FY24 Q3FY23 YoY Q2FY24 QoQ
Revenue 2062.00 1784.00 16.00% 1947.00 6.00%
COGS 1549.00 1344.00 15.00% 1455.00 6.00%
Gross Profit 512.00 440.00 16.00% 491.00 4.00%
Gross Profit Margin 25.00% 25.00% 20 bps 25.00% 39 bps
Employee Benefit Expense 66.00 59.00 12.00% 66.00 0.00%
Other Expense 229.00 198.00 16.00% 221.00 3.00%
EBITDA 217.00 182.00 19.00% 204.00 6.00%
EBITDA Margin 11.00% 10.00% 31 bps 10.00% 5 bps
Depreciation & Amortization 15.00 14.00 7.00% 16.00 -1.00%
EBIT 202.00 168.00 20.00% 188.00 7.00%
Finance Cost 11.00 8.00 40.00% 8.00 45.00%
Other Income 12.00 14.00 -14.00% 8.00 54.00%
PBT 202.00 174.00 17.00% 188.00 7.00%
Tax 52.00 45.00 15.00% 48.00 7.00%
PAT 151.00 129.00 17.00% 140.00 7.00%
PAT Margin 7.00% 7.00% 10 bps 7.00% 11 bps
EPS 16.70 14.26 17.00% 15.54 7.00%

Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research

Consolidated Financial statements