Particulars (Rs. in cr) | Q2FY23 | Q2FY22 | Y-o-Y (%) | Q1FY23 | Q-o-Q(%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from Operations | 1113.00 | 1214.00 | -8.00% | 1080.00 | 3.00% |
EBITDA | -16.00 | 135.00 | 45.00 | ||
EBITDA Margin (%) | -1.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | ||
Profit After Tax | -29.00 | 84.00 | 14.00 | -307.00% | |
EPS | -1.42 | 3.96 | 0.60 |
Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research
Quarterly result highlights Q2FY23
Balrampur Chini reported dismal results for the quarter ended Q2FY23. Consolidated
revenues witnessed a de-growth of 8% at Rs.1113 cr on account of lower cane availability
and lower recovery witnessed during the season 2021-22. The company posted EBITDA
loss of (-16 cr) due to lower sales, increase in cost of production and one-off
spends on account of wages. Due to weak revenue performance and loss at the operating
level, company reported an overall loss of Rs.29 cr.
Conference call highlights
Balrampur Chini mills Limited (BCML) reported tepid earnings for the quarter ended Q2FY23, but we believe that higher sugarcane availability in its catchment area, expected improvement in sugar recovery, increase in blended realization due to refined sugar exports and commissioning of large distillery capacity would improve earnings trajectory for the company in the coming quarters. We remain positive on the sugar industry and Balrampur Chini.
At CMP of Rs.329 as on November 09, 2022, the stock is trading at 9x FY25E and we maintain hold on the stock.
Particulars (Rs. in cr) | Q2FY23 | Q2FY22 | Y-o-Y (%) | Q1FY23 | Q-o-Q(%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from Operations | 1113.00 | 1214.00 | -8.00% | 1080.00 | 3.00% |
COGS | 966.00 | 932.00 | 890.00 | ||
Gross Profit | 147.00 | 282.00 | 190.00 | -23.00% | |
Gross Margin (%) | 13.00% | 23.00% | 18.00% | ||
Employee Benefit Expenses | 95.00 | 71.00 | 74.00 | ||
Other Expenses | 68.00 | 76.00 | 71.00 | ||
EBITDA | -16.00 | 135.00 | 45.00 | ||
EBITDA Margin (%) | -1.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | ||
Depreciation and Amortization | 28.00 | 28.00 | 28.00 | ||
EBIT | -44.00 | 107.00 | 17.00 | ||
Other Income | 12.00 | 4.00 | 14.00 | ||
Finance Cost | 8.00 | 6.00 | 13.00 | ||
Share of profit of associates | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ||
Profit Before Tax | -37.00 | 107.00 | 19.00 | -295.00% | |
Tax Expenses | -8.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | ||
Effective Tax Rate (%) | 22.00% | 21.00% | 26.00% | ||
Profit After Tax | -29.00 | 84.00 | 14.00 | -307.00% | |
PAT Margin (%) | -3.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | ||
EPS | -1.42 | 3.96 | 0.60 |
Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research
Year End March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 4811.70 | 4846.00 | 5389.00 | 6272.60 | 7215.60 |
Growth % | 1.50% | 0.70% | 11.20% | 16.40% | 15.00% |
Expenditure | |||||
Material Cost | 3494.90 | 3494.90 | 3907.00 | 4484.90 | 5123.10 |
Employee Cost | 281.60 | 307.80 | 339.50 | 401.40 | 469.00 |
EBITDA | 712.80 | 699.30 | 776.00 | 966.00 | 1154.50 |
Growth % | 4.50% | -1.90% | 11.00% | 24.50% | 19.50% |
EBITDA Margin | 14.80% | 14.40% | 14.40% | 15.40% | 16.00% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 111.90 | 113.90 | 129.30 | 149.30 | 164.30 |
EBIT | 600.90 | 585.50 | 646.70 | 816.70 | 1040.20 |
EBIT Margin % | 12.50% | 12.10% | 12.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% |
Other Income | 27.90 | 33.40 | 37.00 | 44.00 | 50.00 |
Interest & Finance Charges | 39.30 | 30.90 | 31.50 | 26.80 | 29.60 |
Profit Before Tax | 589.60 | 586.80 | 652.20 | 833.90 | 1010.60 |
Tax Expense | 129.40 | 134.10 | 164.20 | 209.90 | 254.40 |
Effective Tax rate | 21.90% | 22.90% | 25.20% | 25.20% | 25.00% |
Net Profit | 460.20 | 452.70 | 488.00 | 624.00 | 756.20 |
Net Profit Margin | 9.60% | 9.30% | 9.10% | 9.90% | 10.00% |
Consolidated Net Profit | 479.80 | 464.60 | 488.00 | 624.00 | 756.20 |
As of March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Share Capital | 21.00 | 20.40 | 20.40 | 20.40 | 20.40 |
Total Reserves | 2598.10 | 2749.30 | 3237.40 | 3861.40 | 4617.60 |
Shareholders' Funds | 2619.10 | 2769.70 | 3257.80 | 3881.80 | 4638.00 |
Non-Current Liabilities | |||||
Long Term Burrowing | 242.30 | 144.20 | 349.80 | 252.80 | 192.80 |
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities | 64.00 | 75.50 | 75.50 | 75.50 | 75.50 |
Long Term Provisions | 582.50 | 569.00 | 569.00 | 569.00 | 569.00 |
Current Liabilities | - | ||||
Short Term Borrowings | 891.40 | 959.90 | 959.90 | 959.90 | 959.90 |
Trade Payables | 596.40 | 308.30 | 378.60 | 431.30 | 480.40 |
Other Current Liabilities | 199.00 | 214.90 | 109.30 | 109.30 | 109.30 |
Short Term Provisions | 5.40 | 6.70 | 6.70 | 6.70 | 6.70 |
Total Equity & Liabilities | 5208.30 | 5051.40 | 5709.70 | 6289.40 | 7034.80 |
Assets | - | ||||
Net Block | 1598.60 | 1633.60 | 2004.30 | 2155.00 | 2290.70 |
Non-Current Investments | 249.20 | 172.60 | 172.60 | 172.60 | 172.60 |
Long Term Loans & Advances | 589.80 | 660.80 | 660.80 | 660.80 | 660.80 |
Current Assets | |||||
Currents Investments | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | 2378.50 | 2200.50 | 2411.50 | 2779.60 | 3325.90 |
Sundry Debtors | 245.50 | 136.70 | 196.30 | 255.60 | 332.60 |
Cash and Bank | 2.80 | 3.30 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 8.40 |
Short Term Loans and Advances | 18.30 | 24.60 | 24.60 | 24.60 | 24.60 |
Total Assets | 5208.30 | 5051.40 | 5709.40 | 6289.40 | 7034.70 |
Year End March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profit After Tax | 460.20 | 452.70 | 488.00 | 624.00 | 756.20 |
Depreciation | 111.90 | 113.90 | 129.30 | 149.30 | 164.30 |
Changes in Working Capital | -33.70 | 76.20 | -200.30 | -374.60 | -574.20 |
Cash From Operating Activities | 649.20 | 694.70 | 417.00 | 398.70 | 346.40 |
Purchase of Fixed Assets | -100.90 | -404.10 | -500.00 | -300.00 | -300.00 |
Free Cash Flows | 548.30 | 290.60 | -83.00 | 98.70 | 46.40 |
Cash Flow from Investing Activities | -81.10 | -309.40 | -500.00 | -300.00 | -300.00 |
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds | -250.70 | -37.10 | 100.00 | -97.00 | -60.00 |
Cash from Financing Activities | -569.10 | -385.40 | 100.00 | -97.00 | -60.00 |
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow | -1.00 | -0.10 | 17.00 | 1.70 | -13.60 |
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents | 1.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 17.40 | 19.10 |
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent | 0.40 | 0.30 | 17.40 | 19.10 | 5.50 |
Year End March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic EPS | 22.80 | 22.80 | 23.90 | 30.60 | 37.10 |
Diluted EPS | 22.80 | 22.80 | 23.90 | 30.60 | 37.10 |
Book value (Rs/share) | 124.70 | 135.70 | 159.70 | 190.20 | 227.30 |
ROCE (%) Post Tax | 13.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 13.00% | 10.00% |
ROE (%) | 18.00% | 17.00% | 15.00% | 16.00% | 20.00% |
Inventory Days | 172.40 | 172.00 | 175.00 | 180.00 | 154.80 |
Receivable Days | 14.40 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 15.30 |
Payable Days | 34.10 | 26.00 | 28.00 | 26.00 | 23.50 |
PE | 9.40 | 21.50 | 13.80 | 10.80 | 8.90 |
P/BV | 1.70 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.40 |
EV/EBITDA | 8.10 | 16.00 | 10.30 | 8.20 | 6.80 |
P/Sales | 0.90 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
Net debt/Equity | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
Net Debt/ EBITDA | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 1.00 |