KPR Mill Ltd

Textile

KPR Mill Ltd

Textile

Milars Portfolio

CMP
Rs. 1915
Rating:
Buy
September 03, 2021

Stock Info

BSE
532889
NSE
KPRMILL
Bloomberg
KPR:IN
Reuters
KPRM.NS
Sector
Textile
Face Value (Rs)
5
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
34.41
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
13558.32
52w H/L (Rs)
2085.00 - 536.00
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
222,491

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Jun)
%
Promoter
74.72
FIIs
2.65
DIIs
14.57
Public & Others
8.06
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
-0.46
27.47
259.08
Sensex
8.00
11.29
49.09
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

KPR Mill Ltd Sensex
KPR Mill Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

India’s Largest Integrated Player with Presence Across Textile Value Chain

Company Profile
KPR Mill Ltd. (KPR) is one of the largest vertically-integrated player with presence across entire value chain i.e., form fibre to fashion. The company has 12 manufacturing units equipped with an annual capacity to produce 1,00,000 MT of yarn, 40,000 MT of fabrics and 115 million ready-made knitted apparels. In addition, the company also had set up garment unit with capacity of 10 million pieces per annum in Ethiopia. It also owns and operates a co-generation cum sugar plant with capacity of 40 MW & 10,000 TCD and ethanol plant capacity of 130 KLPD. KPR has also invested in captive power plants and has total green power capacity of 61.92 MW as of June 2021.

Prompted by the growth prospects, KPR is expanding its garment and sugar-based ethanol capacities, which are in progress. KPR has strong presence in domestic as well in international markets. It has relationships with more than 1,200 regular domestic clients for yarn and fabric and around 60 leading international brands for garments.

Consolidated Financial Statements

Rs. in Crores Net Sales EBITDA EBITDAM PAT EPS ROE P/E EV/EBITDA
FY19 3384.01 611.75 18.08% 334.87 46.15 18.71% 41.49 23.99
FY20 3352.63 621.95 18.55% 376.68 54.73 20.19% 34.99 22.20
FY21 3530.15 829.56 23.50% 515.26 74.87 21.92% 25.58 16.30
FY22E 4173.07 1014.06 24.30% 610.32 88.68 20.86% 21.59 13.48
FY23E 5013.70 1223.34 24.40% 752.71 109.37 20.69% 17.51 10.87

Investment Rationale

Integrated Nature of Operations Supports Operating Margin
The company is India’s largest integrated player with presence across textile value chain from yarn to apparels. The integrated structure and large-scale operations of the company has aided in maintaining the consistency in product quality and control over raw material prices. The operating margins are expected to improve due to on-going capacity expansion and benefits from RoSCTL scheme, which the central government has extended recently in its meeting held on July 14, 2021. The ten-year average EBITDA margins of the company stands at 19.2%, which is admirable, given the volatile nature of the textile industry. The control over its value chain has enabled the company to reduce the lead time and provide on-time delivery to domestic and international clients, which in turn has positioned the company as a preferred vendor.

Capacity Expansion to aid Revenue Growth and Profitability
The company has announced the capacity expansion of its garments segment. With the new capacity of 42 million pieces of garments per year, the total garment production capacity of the company will be increased to 157 million pieces per year. As per the management, the 42 million project is expected to be commissioned in October 2021. Further, the company has decided to set up a new plant with capacity to produce 10,000 TCD sugar, 220 KLPD ethanol, and 50 MW co-gen. With this, the overall sugar business capacity will increase to 20,000 of TCD of sugar, 90 MW of power, and 340 KLPD of ethanol and as per the management, the project will be commissioned by end of November 2021.

Recent changes in sugar industry such as increase in ethanol blending in petrol and higher prices of sugar in international markets, etc. could help the company to improve its operating revenues and profitability. The management expects Rs. 1,100 – Rs. 1,200 crores of revenue from new sugar plant at full capacity.

China Plus One Strategy to Boost Exports
Due to the diversification of supply chain triggered by the Covid-19 induced disruptions and trade tensions between US and China, manufacturers are avoiding to rely on one geography and looking for replacements. In South-East Aisa region, India is emerging as the most preferred alternative as the country has abundant raw material, cheap labour, and manufacturing infrastructure. Indian cotton is less costly and labour is cheaper than China. Global manufacturers, therefore, no longer regard China as an affordable haven.

India is also the world's largest cotton producer and has about 41% of the world area under cultivation between 12.5-13 million hectares (Source: Company Annual Report, 2021) promoted by the raise in MSP for cotton by central government. Further, China is facing the hurdle as the US has banned the cotton imports from China’s Xinjiang region (contributing +80% of Chinese cotton production) which results into loss of market share in all cotton segments. We believe that the diversification strategy by global players would create a huge opportunity for India along with other countries such as Pakistan, Vietnam, etc. Global brands show higher preference for vertically integrated players for their higher control on quality and timely deliveries. KPR Mill, being one of India’s largest vertically-integrated player, is expected to reap benefits from this shift.

Restoration of RoSCTL Scheme Could Aid Margins
The Union Cabinet meeting on 14th July 2021 has given its approval for the continuation of the RoSCTL (Rebate of State and Central Taxes and Levies) with the same rates for Made ups and Garments till March 31, 2024. The extension of the RoSCTL scheme is a positive development which is expected to improve the competitiveness of Made ups articles in the export markets and lead to a jump in overall exports. This is expected to restore profit margins of players in the industry. The company has not realised the benefits of scheme in Q1FY22 since the official notification has not been published, only press release is available. As of June 30, the company is eligible for ~Rs. 15 – Rs. 16 crores of income and once the final notification is out, the company will realize the eligible amount and this is expected to aid margins in coming quarters.

Improving Financial Performance
Despite complex economic scenario caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the company sustained better performance trend and was able to close the year with highest-ever revenue and profits. In FY21, the revenue from operations stood at Rs. 3,530 crores vs. Rs. 3,353 crores in FY20, a growth of 5.3% YoY. Further, due to factors like lower cost of raw material and finance costs coupled with benefits of integrated operations, the company was able to post high operating margins of 23.5% vs. 18.5% in FY20. In Q1F22, margin improved and stood at 24.9% (a sequential improvement of ~100bps). Net profit margin also seen an uptick of 340bps to 14.6% in FY21. The company’s debt/equity ratio has also improved from 0.42x in FY20 to 0.28x in FY21. The capacity addition in textile and sugar segment is expected to further aid in revenue growth as well as profitability.

Outlook and Valuation

On the back of huge growth opportunity in exports, capacity expansion, vertically integrated operations, strong balance sheet, ability to maintain cost of power through green power investments, strong client base in domestic and international market, the company is set to reap benefits. Further, change in strategy of the global brands to diversify their supply chains will open a new gate way for the company in international markets. We assigned a multiple of 11.05x to the company’s textile business and 10x to its sugar business to arrive at FY23E EV of Rs. 13,293 crores.

Segments FY22 EBITDA FY23 EBITDA EV/EBITDA (X) EV
Textile 838.4 1,012.6 11.0 11,185.5
Sugar 175.6 210.8 10.0 2,107.5
Total 1,014.0 1,223.3 13,293.0

Peer Comparison

Particulars (FY21) Sales CAGR (FY16 - FY21) Operating Margin (%) PAT Margin (%) RoCE (%) RoE (%) EV/EBITDA (FY23E)
KPR Mill 6.30% 23.50% 14.61% 25.50% 21.92% 10.9x
Arvind -8.73% 9.43% -0.33% 4.09% -0.61% 5.4x
Trident 4.33% 18.22% 6.72% 9.50% 9.15% 7.5x
Welspun India 4.38% 18.42% 7.35% 14.78% 14.81% 6.1x
Indo Count Industries 4.08% 15.03% 9.95% 23.04% 19.51% 9.1x

Financial Statement

Profit & Loss statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Net Sales 3384.01 3352.63 3530.15 4173.07 5013.70
Expenditure
Material Cost 2027.59 1987.19 1962.93 2316.05 2777.59
Employee Cost 380.73 394.40 393.68 459.04 551.51
Other Expenses 363.94 349.09 343.98 383.92 461.26
EBITDA 611.75 621.95 829.56 1014.06 1223.34
EBITDA Margin 18.08% 18.55% 23.50% 24.30% 24.40%
Depreciation & Amortization 131.13 137.09 146.70 187.00 203.00
EBIT 480.62 484.86 682.86 827.06 1020.34
EBIT Margin % 14.20% 14.46% 19.34% 19.82% 20.35%
Other Income 36.90 36.46 38.84 37.00 37.00
Interest & Finance Charges 48.94 49.65 32.84 48.44 51.44
Profit Before Tax - Before Exceptional 468.58 471.67 688.86 815.61 1005.90
Profit Before Tax 468.58 471.67 688.86 815.61 1005.90
Tax Expense 133.71 94.99 173.60 205.29 253.18
Effective Tax rate 28.54% 20.14% 25.20% 25.17% 25.17%
Net Profit 334.87 376.68 515.26 610.32 752.71
Net Profit Margin 9.90% 11.24% 14.60% 14.63% 15.01%
Consolidated Net Profit 334.87 376.68 515.26 610.32 752.71
Net Profit Margin after MI 9.90% 11.24% 14.60% 14.63% 15.01%

Balance Sheet

As of March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Share Capital 36.28 34.41 34.41 34.41 34.41
Total Reserves 1753.89 1831.46 2315.76 2891.67 3603.09
Shareholders' Funds 1790.17 1865.87 2350.17 2926.08 3637.50
Non Current Liabilities
Long Term Borrowing 130.49 206.75 179.08 526.37 326.37
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities 46.83 32.60 29.35 29.35 29.35
Current Liabilities
Short Term Borrowings 690.79 533.82 431.03 431.03 431.03
Trade Payables 222.10 131.95 122.16 200.49 239.11
Other Current Liabilities 83.21 101.11 110.55 63.26 63.26
Total Equity & Liabilities 2973.74 2882.42 3251.38 4196.32 4746.35
Assets
Net Block 1136.72 1321.32 1255.56 1793.56 1819.18
Non Current Investments 2.10 2.10 1.50 1.50 1.50
Long Term Loans & Advances 53.74 42.39 211.27 211.27 211.27
Current Assets
Currents Investments - 7.01 233.44 283.44 483.44
Inventories 1006.41 715.73 913.26 939.16 1120.03
Sundry Debtors 528.00 409.24 320.98 495.96 591.48
Cash and Bank 74.84 154.22 77.26 183.32 159.96
Total Assets 2973.74 2882.42 3251.38 4196.32 4746.35

Cash Flow Statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Profit After Tax 334.87 376.68 515.26 610.32 752.71
Depreciation 131.13 137.09 146.70 187.00 203.00
Changes in Working Capital -445.21 236.97 -47.33 -122.55 -237.77
Cash From Operating Activities 65.94 788.28 658.92 674.78 717.94
Purchase of Fixed Assets -92.46 -296.64 -285.01 -725.00 -200.00
Free Cash Flows -26.52 491.64 373.91 -50.22 517.94
Others 16.14 9.60 -265.58 -100.00 -200.00
Cash Flow from Investing Activities -69.09 -282.79 -548.34 -825.00 -400.00
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds -22.30 87.83 -27.90 300.00 -200.00
Equity Dividend Paid -5.44 -31.24 -30.96 -34.41 -41.29
Cash from Financing Activities 46.72 -417.77 -194.44 265.59 -341.29
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow 43.57 87.72 -83.86 115.37 -23.35
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 20.52 64.09 151.81 67.95 183.32
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent 64.09 151.81 67.95 183.32 159.96

Key Ratios

Year End March 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Basic EPS 46.15 54.73 74.87 88.68 109.37
Diluted EPS 46.15 54.73 74.87 88.68 109.37
Cash EPS (Rs) 64.22 74.65 96.19 115.86 138.87
DPS 0.75 4.50 4.50 5.00 6.00
Book value (Rs/share) 246.72 271.12 341.50 425.18 528.55
ROCE (%) Post Tax 15.41% 15.96% 19.39% 18.90% 19.12%
ROE (%) 18.71% 20.19% 21.92% 20.86% 20.69%
Inventory Days 88.81 93.74 84.21 89.00 89.00
Receivable Days 51.11 51.02 37.75 47.00 47.00
Payable Days 25.73 19.27 13.14 19.00 19.00
PE 41.49 34.99 25.58 21.59 17.51
P/BV 7.76 7.06 5.61 4.50 3.62
EV/EBITDA 23.99 22.20 16.30 13.48 10.87
Dividend Yield (%) 0.04% 0.23% 0.23% 0.26% 0.31%
P/Sales 4.11 3.93 3.73 3.16 2.63
Net debt/Equity 0.44 0.34 0.15 0.17 0.03
Net Debt/ EBITDA 1.28 1.01 0.42 0.48 0.09
Sales/Net FA (x) 2.87 2.73 2.74 2.74 2.78