Infosys Ltd - Research Report

Private Client Research

Rating

Buy

Sector

IT - Software

Company

Infosys Ltd

IT - Software


October 30, 2019

Sensex: 40051.87


CNX Nifty: 11844.10

NSE: INFY


BSE: 500209

Reco Price
Rs. 666
Price Target (1 Year)
Rs. 800
Upside
20.12%

Date

October 30, 2019

Sensex

40051.87

CNX Nifty

11844.10

Exchange

Code

NSE

INFY

BSE

500209

Stock Data

CMP (Rs)
660.60
Face value (Rs)
5
52 Week Range (Rs)
847.00 - 599.85
Market cap (Rs Crores)
281246.83
Price To Book Value (x)
4.84
P/E Ratio (x)
18.90
EV/EBIDTA (x)
11.55

One Year indexed Stock Performance

Infosys Ltd Sensex
Infosys Ltd
Return (%)
1m
6m
12m
36m
Absolute
-17.99
-11.93
0.11
31.76
Sensex
3.58
2.61
18.18
43.40

Shareholders

(in %)
30-Sep
Promoter
13.15
Public
86.41
Others
0.44
Total
100

+91 22 6639 3000

research@stockaxis.com

Profile

Company Description
Infosys is India’s second-largest provider of consulting and IT services to clients across the globe. It is also among the fastest-growing IT services organizations in the world and a leader in the offshore services space having pioneered the Global Delivery Model. The company provides business consulting, application development and maintenance, and engineering services to 1,364 active clients across Banking, Financial Services, Insurance, Retail, Manufacturing and Utilities verticals. Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting. It enables clients in 46 countries to navigate their digital transformation. With over three decades of experience in managing the systems and workings of global enterprises, Infosys has expertly steered its clients through their digital journey.

Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting. It enables clients in 46 countries to navigate their digital transformation. With over three decades of experience in managing the systems and workings of global enterprises, Infosys has expertly steer their clients through their digital journey.

With no supporting evidence, fair chance should be given to the company.

Revised guidance for FY20
Infosys has increased its lower end of FY20 revenue guidance from 8.5% - 10% in constant currency (CC). Constant currency implies eliminating the effect of exchange rate fluctuations when calculating financial performance numbers. The revised FY20 revenue guidance is 9%-10% in CC. The company maintained FY20 operating margin guidance range of 21% - 23%.

Solid half yearly performance
H1 revenues grew by 11.9% in CC, operating margin stood at 21.1%. Q2 FY20 revenues grew YoY by 9.8% and 3.8% QoQ in INR terms. Q2 FY20 operating margin stood at 21.7%, 1.2% improvement over Q1 FY20.

Robust growth in Digital revenue
Infosys’ Digital revenue, in CC terms, grew at 33.8% during FY19 and now comprises a third of the company’s total revenue. Q2 FY20 Digital revenue stood at $1,230 million (38.3% of total revenues), YoY growth of 38.4% and QoQ growth of 10.7% in CC.

Strong deal pipeline
Infosys sustained momentum of large deal wins quarter after quarter. Infosys reported large deal-wins over $2.8 billion for Q2 FY20, deal-wins for Q1 FY20 aggregated to $2.7 billion. The company indicated that 10% of deal wins in 2Q of $2.8 billion were new deals.

Emerging concerns on unethical business practices
In response to whistleblower complaints, the Audit committee has appointed law firm Shardul Amarchand Managaldas & Co. to conduct an independent investigation. To ensure independence in these investigations, the CEO and CFO have been recused from this matter. We expect the board to remain committed to highest standard of corporate governance and protect the interests of all stakeholders. We hope decisions by the audit committee would be taken quickly and the corporate governance overhang will not persist for long as that would not be good for business. The company has stated that it will deal with the whistleblower complaints head-on and maintain an untarnished record of ethical business practices.

 

Profit & Loss Statement:- (Consolidated)

(Rs Crores)

Particulars FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 E FY21 E
Net Sales 68484.00 70522.00 82675.00 89702.38 97327.08
Power & Fuel Cost 228.00 207.00 221.00 221.00 221.00
Employee Cost 37659.00 38893.00 45315.00 49336.31 53529.89
Cost of Software developments 5430.00 6167.00 8586.00 9867.26 11679.25
Operating Expenses 40.00 30.00 47.00 47.00 47.00
General and Administration Expenses 5731.00 5540.00 6611.00 7176.19 7786.17
Selling and Marketing Expenses 342.00 305.00 489.00 530.57 575.66
Miscellaneous Expenses 809.00 487.00 1236.00 1341.06 1455.05
Total Expenditure 50239.00 51629.00 62505.00 68298.38 75073.02
Operating Profit 18245.00 18893.00 20170.00 21403.99 22254.06
Other Income 3439.00 3311.00 2882.00 2882.00 2882.00
EBITDA 21684.00 22204.00 23052.00 24285.99 25136.06
Depreciation 1703.00 1863.00 2011.00 2181.94 2367.40
Profit Before Tax 19981.00 20341.00 21041.00 22104.06 22768.66
Provision for Tax 5598.00 4241.00 5631.00 5747.05 5692.16
Profit After Tax 14383.00 16100.00 15410.00 16357.00 17076.49
EPS 31.37 36.83 35.53 38.20 39.90
Source: Stockaxis Research, Company Data

Valuation

We believe Infosys can continue its growth momentum with enough levers in place like large deal signings, reduction in attrition, robust growth in digital revenue, strong operational discipline and encouraging H1 performance.

The stock is trading at 17x FY20E EPS; we initiate ‘buy’ with target price of Rs.800 (based on 20x FY21E EPS).