Company Description
Infosys is India’s second-largest provider of consulting and IT services to clients
across the globe. It is also among the fastest-growing IT services organizations
in the world and a leader in the offshore services space having pioneered the Global
Delivery Model. The company provides business consulting, application development
and maintenance, and engineering services to 1,364 active clients across Banking,
Financial Services, Insurance, Retail, Manufacturing and Utilities verticals. Infosys
is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting. It enables
clients in 46 countries to navigate their digital transformation. With over three
decades of experience in managing the systems and workings of global enterprises,
Infosys has expertly steered its clients through their digital journey.
Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting. It enables clients in 46 countries to navigate their digital transformation. With over three decades of experience in managing the systems and workings of global enterprises, Infosys has expertly steer their clients through their digital journey.
Revised guidance for FY20
Infosys has increased its lower end of FY20 revenue guidance from 8.5% - 10% in
constant currency (CC). Constant currency implies eliminating the effect of exchange
rate fluctuations when calculating financial performance numbers. The revised FY20
revenue guidance is 9%-10% in CC. The company maintained FY20 operating margin guidance
range of 21% - 23%.
Solid half yearly performance
H1 revenues grew by 11.9% in CC, operating margin stood at 21.1%. Q2 FY20 revenues
grew YoY by 9.8% and 3.8% QoQ in INR terms. Q2 FY20 operating margin stood at 21.7%,
1.2% improvement over Q1 FY20.
Robust growth in Digital revenue
Infosys’ Digital revenue, in CC terms, grew at 33.8% during FY19 and now comprises
a third of the company’s total revenue. Q2 FY20 Digital revenue stood at $1,230
million (38.3% of total revenues), YoY growth of 38.4% and QoQ growth of 10.7% in
CC.
Strong deal pipeline
Infosys sustained momentum of large deal wins quarter after quarter. Infosys reported
large deal-wins over $2.8 billion for Q2 FY20, deal-wins for Q1 FY20 aggregated
to $2.7 billion. The company indicated that 10% of deal wins in 2Q of $2.8 billion
were new deals.
Emerging concerns on unethical business practices
In response to whistleblower complaints, the Audit committee has appointed law firm
Shardul Amarchand Managaldas & Co. to conduct an independent investigation. To ensure
independence in these investigations, the CEO and CFO have been recused from this
matter. We expect the board to remain committed to highest standard of corporate
governance and protect the interests of all stakeholders. We hope decisions by the
audit committee would be taken quickly and the corporate governance overhang will
not persist for long as that would not be good for business. The company has stated
that it will deal with the whistleblower complaints head-on and maintain an untarnished
record of ethical business practices.
Particulars | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 E | FY21 E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 68484.00 | 70522.00 | 82675.00 | 89702.38 | 97327.08 |
Power & Fuel Cost | 228.00 | 207.00 | 221.00 | 221.00 | 221.00 |
Employee Cost | 37659.00 | 38893.00 | 45315.00 | 49336.31 | 53529.89 |
Cost of Software developments | 5430.00 | 6167.00 | 8586.00 | 9867.26 | 11679.25 |
Operating Expenses | 40.00 | 30.00 | 47.00 | 47.00 | 47.00 |
General and Administration Expenses | 5731.00 | 5540.00 | 6611.00 | 7176.19 | 7786.17 |
Selling and Marketing Expenses | 342.00 | 305.00 | 489.00 | 530.57 | 575.66 |
Miscellaneous Expenses | 809.00 | 487.00 | 1236.00 | 1341.06 | 1455.05 |
Total Expenditure | 50239.00 | 51629.00 | 62505.00 | 68298.38 | 75073.02 |
Operating Profit | 18245.00 | 18893.00 | 20170.00 | 21403.99 | 22254.06 |
Other Income | 3439.00 | 3311.00 | 2882.00 | 2882.00 | 2882.00 |
EBITDA | 21684.00 | 22204.00 | 23052.00 | 24285.99 | 25136.06 |
Depreciation | 1703.00 | 1863.00 | 2011.00 | 2181.94 | 2367.40 |
Profit Before Tax | 19981.00 | 20341.00 | 21041.00 | 22104.06 | 22768.66 |
Provision for Tax | 5598.00 | 4241.00 | 5631.00 | 5747.05 | 5692.16 |
Profit After Tax | 14383.00 | 16100.00 | 15410.00 | 16357.00 | 17076.49 |
EPS | 31.37 | 36.83 | 35.53 | 38.20 | 39.90 |
We believe Infosys can continue its growth momentum with enough levers in place like large deal signings, reduction in attrition, robust growth in digital revenue, strong operational discipline and encouraging H1 performance.
The stock is trading at 17x FY20E EPS; we initiate ‘buy’ with target price of Rs.800 (based on 20x FY21E EPS).