Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Limited (“IRCTC”) is a Central Public Sector Enterprise wholly owned by the Government of India under the administrative control of the Ministry of Railways. IRCTC is the only entity authorized by Indian Railways to provide catering services to railways, online railway tickets and packaged drinking water at railway stations and trains in India. IRCTC was incorporated with the objective to upgrade, modernize and professionalize catering and hospitality services, managing hospitality services at railway stations, on trains and other locations and to promote international and domestic tourism in India through public-private participation. IRCTC is conferred the status of Mini – ratna (Category-I Public Sector Enterprise) by the GoI, on May 1, 2008.
IRCTC operates one of the most transacted websites, www.irctc.co.in, in the Asia-Pacific region with transaction volume averaging 1.5 to 1.8 crores transactions per month during the three months ended June 30, 2019. They have also diversified into other businesses, including non-railway catering and services such as e-catering, executive lounges and budget hotels, which are in line with their objective to build a “one stop solution” for their customers. Currently, they operate in 4 business segments, namely, internet ticketing, catering, packaged drinking water under the “Rail Neer” brand, and travel and tourism
I. Internet Ticketing
IRCTC is the only entity authorized by Indian Railways to offer railways ticket
online, and their website attracts a significant number of web visitors on a daily
basis. In Fiscal 2019, an average of approximately 0.14 crore passengers booked
their tickets online for travel on Indian Railways on a daily basis which consisted
of approximately 71.42% of Indian Railways' tickets booked online. Such web
traffic provided IRCTC with opportunities for cross-selling and possibility to generate
revenue through value added services. According to CRISIL, annual online train bookings
are expected to grow from 28.4 crore bookings in Fiscal 2019 to 42.5-43.5 crore
in fiscal 2024. Their internet – ticketing system is designed and operated
in conjunction with CRIS. The booking of railway tickets through their website is
now available 24 hours per day, 365 day per year, except for routine daily maintenance
from 23:45 hours to 00:20 hours. The main objective behind the introduction of the
internet ticketing was that instead of requiring passengers to be physically present
at the Passenger Reservation System (“PRS”), the PRS should be brought
to the door steps of passengers.
II. Catering
The company provides food catering services to Indian Railway passengers on trains
and at stations. On-board catering services are referred to as mobile catering and
catering services at stations are referred to as static catering. Pursuant to the
catering policy issued by Ministry of Railways dated February 27, 2017, (“Catering
Policy 2017”), they provide catering services for approximately 350 pre-paid
and post-paid trains and 530 static units. They provide catering services through
mobile catering units, base kitchens, cell kitchens, refreshment rooms, food plazas,
food courts, train side vending, and Jan Ahaars over the Indian Railways network.
All other catering units, such as refreshments rooms at stations categorized at
B or below, AVMs, milk stalls, and trolleys are managed by zonal railways. They
also offer e-catering services to passengers through their mobile application "Food
on Track" and their e catering website, www.ecatering.irctc.co.in. They also
operate executive lounges, budget hotels, and retiring rooms for the convenience
of the travelling passengers on Indian Railways.
With the Catering Policy 2017, the responsibility for the entire catering services on all mobile units having pantry car service from Indian Railways, as well as part of static catering services of Indian Railways have been handed over to IRCTC, and are planning to roll out at least 10 new pantry cars in Fiscal 2020 once the design is approved by Indian Railways.
III. Packaged Drinking Water (Rail Neer)
IRCTC are the only entity authorized by the Ministry of Railways to manufacture
and distribute packaged drinking water at all railway stations and on trains. They
manufacture and distribute packaged drinking water under brand “Rail Neer”.
IRCTC has 10 operational Rail Neer plants, out of which Rail Neer Plants at Amethi,
Parassala, Hapur, Ahmedabad, and Bhopal are under PPP mode. It has an installed
production capacity of approximately 1.09 million litres per day, which caters to
approximately 45% of the current demand of packaged drinking water at railway premises
and in trains. To increase our presence in the packaged drinking water market at
railway stations, and to meet the growing demand, they are setting up new Rail Neer
plants at Sankrail, Jagi Road, Nagpur, Bhusawal, Jabalpur, and Una. They also have
installed water vending machines (“WVMs”) at railway stations to provide
purified, chilled and portable drinking water to railway passengers at an affordable
price. With improving awareness on health and hygiene, increased tourism, and the
easy availability of packaged drinking water, per capita consumption of packaged
drinking water in India is on the rise.
IV. Travel and Tourism
IRCTC has been mandated by the Indian Railways to provide tourism and travel related
services. The various tourism services offered by them include Luxury Train Tours
Maharajas’ Express, Buddhist Circuit Special Train, Bharat Darshan Special
Tourist Trains, theme based tourist trains, Rail Tour Packages, international and
domestic air packages, land tour packages, hotel booking, car rental, LTC tours
and event management. They are a one stop shop for all travel and tourism related
services, and operate their own tourism portal, www.irctctourism.com through which
they offers these products and services.
Strengths
Only entity authorised by the Ministry of Railways to offer Railway tickets online:
IRCTC is the only entity authorized by Indian Railways to offer railway tickets online through their website www.irctc.co.in and mobile application, "Rail Connect". Between Fiscal 2014 and Fiscal 2019, online rail bookings have registered an approximately 12.5% CAGR, with e-booking penetration rising to approximately 70% in Fiscal 2019. This segment fetches around 60% margin.
Convenience Fee for online tickets:
Government had initially waived off the service charge of Rs20/40 (50% shared with
government) for Non AC and AC segment in 2016. Compensation of cost amounting Rs
80 crore and Rs 88 crore was received in FY18 and FY19. However the Ministry has
decided to stop paying compensation and allowed the company to restore Convenience
fee on e-tickets booked through its website. The convenience fee will be charged
at Rs 15 per ticket for non-AC class, Rs 30 per ticket for AC class and Rs10/20
for transactions through BHIM and UPI. This convenience fee will be retained fully
with IRCTC which will flow straight to the bottom-line.
Authorised catering service provider to passengers travelling by Indian Railways:
IRCTC is the only entity authorized to manage the catering services on board trains
and major static units at railway stations under the Catering Policy 2017. Business
is done through various modes like Mobile (onboard –catering to 350 trains),
Static (At the railway stations eg Jan Ahars, Cell Kitchens, Refreshment rooms etc)
and e-catering (Food on track app with +700 partnered restaurants). With increased
awareness of e-catering business and more number of static and mobile pantries in
line, overall this segment is expected to grow by 9-10%. Currently this business
fetches decent 11-12% margins.
Comprehensive tourism and hospitality service provider in India:
Domestic and International Tour and travel package along with air ticketing is the
major contributor to this segment. Also various themed train tours like Maharaja
Express (7- star premium segment), Buddhist Circuit Special and Ramayana etc are
fetching good growth. Additionally, IRCTC is one among the 3 entities (others are
M/s Balmer Lawrie & Co Ltd and M/s Ashok Travels & Tours,) permitted by
the GoI to offer air ticketing service to different ministries at both the Central
and State Government level. To facilitate service to these central and state ministries,
IRCTC has introduced an advance rolling deposit system, whereby they issue air tickets
to the extent that the costs have been prepaid by the respective ministries. They
have also developed a “Corporate Tool” that enables corporates to issue
tickets themselves from their own premises.
Exclusively authorized for manufacturing and supplying packaged drinking water at
railway station and trains:
IRCTC is the only entity authorized by the Ministry of Railways to manufacture and
distribute packaged drinking water at all railway stations and trains, subject to
availability of Rail Neer. IRCTC has planned to commission more 10 plants by FY21
which would enable them to cater 80-85% of demand and gain market and fill the demand-supply
void. Hence, this segment could bring in growth of 12-15%. This segment fetches
15-16% margins.
New Business Venture:
As a part of plan by the Ministry of Railways to privatise passenger train operation,
IRCTC has received mandate to trial run passenger trains between Lucknow and Delhi
w.e.f October 2019 and the second route between Ahmedabad and Mumbai sometime later.
IRCTC has the authority to decide the fares and service levels. It has planned to
provide free insurance cover of Rs 25 lakhs, waiting charges of Rs 100 per hour
and high-class amenities. Haulage charges would be paid to government as a maintenance
cost. Currently, they are going to take the rake on lease and would buy it later
based on the success of its new venture (as a part of its 10 year deal). IRCTC is
expected to earn at least Rs 50 crore a year from the two trains mainly through
fares and catering and advertisements. It will break even at 72% occupancy levels.
The pricing structure would be dynamic (10% higher than Shatabdi and 40/50% lower
than economy class air fares).
Robust operating system and internal controls:
IRCTC has a robust operating system and internal controls that have enabled them
to deliver quality products and services to their customers across different segments
of their operation. Over the years, they have implemented several well-tested systems
and internal controls procedures.
Qualified and experienced employees and management team:
IRCTC has a qualified and trained employee force to service their customers. As
of August 31, 2019, they had 1,384 full time employees across their business verticals
including more than 350 graduates from the Institute of hotel managements and Food
Craft Institutes with expertise in hospitality industry. They have also trained
heir senior officials in various topics e.g. Data analytics, operation and supply
chain management, finance and non-finance, developing communication competencies.
Risk
Increase in Air-Traffic: Of late, railway traffic has been flat while the
air traffic has been growing in double digits owing to low air fares by no frill
carriers. If there is a general trend among travellers to shift to air traffic resulting
from low air fares which can happen if crude prices remain on the lower side with
significant increase in capacity with the airlines, this might impact top line.
Business and revenues are substantially dependent on Indian Railways. Any adverse change in policy of the Ministry of Railways may adversely affect the business and operations.
Failure to manage online security, security of customers’ personal information and credit card fraud may expose the company to litigations and liabilities
Total railway passenger traffic has remained nearly flat over the past four years whereas total railway freight traffic registered a 2.5% CAGR during last four years. Growth in freight traffic was majorly driven by strong freight demand from coal, pig iron and finished steel, iron ore, and container service during the four years. Government introduced measures to increase freight traffic, with an objective of increasing the share of Indian Railways (IR) in freight transport across India. Government announced the Eastern and Western Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFC), which aims to cut down on the turnaround time between importing and consuming destinations through construction of a railway network specialised for freight traffic.
As per the National Restaurant Association of India (NRAI), the food services industry was estimated at Rs 3.09 trillion in fiscal 2016, and has grown at a ~11% CAGR to reach Rs 4.24 trillion in fiscal 2019. The growth was driven by growing young population of India, rising disposable incomes, uptick in discretionary spending on eating out, and growing number of women in working population. Increasing availability of restaurants offering variety of cuisines along with the proliferation of food-ordering platforms has also aided growth of the food services and catering industry.
Income Statement | Mar-17 | Mar-18 | Mar-19 | Mar-20E | Mar-21E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from operations | 1535.00 | 1470.00 | 1867.00 | 2295.25 | 2852.10 |
Cost of material consumed | 227.10 | 257.20 | 124.20 | 228.50 | 310.40 |
Manufacturing expenses | 237.70 | 67.00 | 61.20 | 70.50 | 86.80 |
Employee Benefit Expenses | 163.80 | 192.10 | 195.00 | 222.65 | 280.96 |
Other Expenses | 593.80 | 681.20 | 1115.20 | 1230.50 | 1468.50 |
Total Expenses | 1222.40 | 1197.50 | 1495.60 | 1752.15 | 2146.66 |
EBITDA | 312.60 | 272.50 | 371.40 | 543.10 | 705.44 |
EBITDA margin(%) | 20.40% | 18.50% | 19.90% | 23.66% | 24.73% |
Depreciation | 22.40 | 23.60 | 28.60 | 35.60 | 40.50 |
EBIT | 290.20 | 248.90 | 342.80 | 507.50 | 664.94 |
Other income | 67.40 | 99.00 | 88.70 | 95.20 | 95.20 |
Interest cost | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
Profit before tax | 355.10 | 345.00 | 429.20 | 600.20 | 757.64 |
Provision for tax | 125.90 | 124.90 | 157.30 | 151.25 | 190.93 |
Profit after tax | 229.20 | 220.10 | 271.90 | 448.95 | 566.71 |
PAT margin(%) | 14.90% | 15.00% | 14.60% | 19.56% | 19.87% |
EPS | 14.32 | 13.79 | 17.04 | 28.06 | 35.42 |
We have a positive outlook for the company based on parameters such as strong earnings profile, diversified business segment, healthy return ratios, debt-free status and monopoly business. Inclusion of convenience fee on railway tickets, setting up of 10 water plants in next 2 years and recent tax reduction of corporate tax bodes well for EPS (earnings per share) growth. We assign valuation multiple of 37.7x FY21E EPS and initiate BUY with a Target Price of Rs 1330.