DLF Ltd

Construction - Real Estate

DLF Ltd

Construction - Real Estate

Milars Portfolio

CMP
Rs. 334
Rating:
Buy
August 03, 2021

Stock Info

BSE
532868
NSE
DLF
Bloomberg
DLFU:IN
Reuters
DLF.NS
Sector
Construction - Real Estate
Face Value (Rs)
2
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
495
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
87947.82
52w H/L (Rs)
354.90 - 138.00
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
1,676,930

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Jun)
%
Promoter
74.95
FIIs
16.99
DIIs
2.56
Public & Others
5.50
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
20.95
43.32
156.63
Sensex
1.78
10.48
45.71
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

DLF Ltd Sensex
DLF Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

One of India’s Leading Real Estate Developers

Company Profile
Incorporated in 1963, DLF Limited (DLF) is one of India's leading real estate developers, with a track record spanning more than seven decades. Its primary businesses are residential property development and sale (Development Business) and commercial and retail property development and leasing (Annuity Business). It has developed 153 real estate projects covering a total area of 330 million square feet (msf). The group has an annuity portfolio of over ~35 msf. It is credited for the development of numerous well-known urban colonies in Delhi, including South Extension, Greater Kailash, Kailash Colony, and Hauz Khas, as well as DLF City, one of Asia's largest private townships in Gurgaon, Haryana.

Consolidated Financial Statements

Particulars (Rs. in Crores) Net Sales EBITDA EBITDAM PAT EPS ROE P/E EV/EBITDA
FY18 6706.79 2377.44 35.45% 4463.86 24.48 12.62% 8.04 21.41
FY19 8366.09 2141.51 25.60% 1319.20 5.84 3.92% 33.87 27.10
FY20 6082.77 1135.00 18.66% -583.20 -2.36 -1.69% -58.34 34.60
FY21 5414.06 1417.80 26.19% 1093.60 4.42 3.09% 64.97 53.32
FY22E 6746.68 2063.96 30.59% 1935.44 7.82 5.36% 69.32 44.37
FY23E 7541.45 2425.05 32.16% 2310.04 9.33 6.21% 56.08 36.87

Investment Rationale

Established Market Position with Significant Land Bank
DLF has a well-established market position, owing to its proven track record of project completion and presence in all segments in multiple places around the country, allowing for broader buyer coverage. It has land bankin various regions across India with ~56% of land bank in Gurgaon (~13% in DLF 5/DLF City and ~43% in New Gurgaon), 9% in Chandigarh Tri-City Region, 9% in Maharashtra, 7% in Delhi, 6% in Chennai, 2% in Hyderabad and the balance in various other states. Out of the total ~187 msf of land parcel, DLF has planned new products launches of ~35 msf in medium term and if demand continues to be strong, the company could consider more launches.

The company has huge land bank of ~152 msf after removing the identified pipeline of new product launches. DLF’s land bank is characterized by low carrying costs, excellent location, and a wide range of property uses provides an opportunity to capitalise on the expected real estate upcycle.

Location Development Potential (in msf) %
Gurgaon 105 56%
Delhi Metropolitan Region 13 7%
Chennai 12 6%
Hyderabad 3 2%
Chandigarh Tri-City Region 16 9%
Kolkata 2 1%
Maharashtra (Mumbai/Pune/Nagpur) 16 9%
Bhuvaneshwar 6 3%
GandhiNagar 2 1%
Other Cities 11 6%
Total 187
Identified Pipeline of New Product Launches 35
Balance Potential 152

Source: Investors’ Presentation

New Product Launches in Residential Segment to Aid Sales Trajectory
The residential segment of the real estate industry saw a surge in demand in H2FY21, aided by high affordability. During the year, the trend of new sales outpaced the number of launches, resulting in a decrease in unsold inventory levels. According to Anarock's research report, unsold inventory has decreased by 19% since its peak in 2016. The key demand drivers viz. affordability, consumer sentiments, and desire to own a home, are in place and expected to fuel the growth of housing segment in the foreseeable future. Also, the preference of home buyers from major and established developers was one of the growing trends in the residential segment that was noticeable. According to ICRA estimates, demand consolidation in favour of major developers increased to ~22% in 9MFY21.

During the last decade (FY10 – FY20), the net sales booking value of DLF has declined from Rs. 7,150 crores in FY10 to Rs. 2,485 crores in FY20 due to several reasons such as subdued demand, liquidity crunch, unfavourable business cycle, and certain regulatory initiatives by various authorities. However, in FY21, despite Covid-19 pandemic, the company’s net sales booking grew 24% YoY to Rs. 3,084 crores and the same traction continued in Q1FY22 with the net sales booking of Rs. 1,014 crores.

The housing segment is exhibiting strong signs of recovery and to leverage this upcycle, DLF has identified a strong pipeline of 35 msf of new products with a revenue potential of Rs. 36,000 – Rs. 40,000 crores. The pipeline comprises a diversified offerings across geographies and segments. The initial phase of these developments comprises low-rise developments, enabling a faster execution cycle, resulting in quicker cash conversion. The management expects these new products to create substantial cash flows to fuel the next growth cycle. The new product pipeline will enable monetisation of ~20% of existing land bank over the medium term (refer the table below) –

Project Project Size (~msf) Sales Potential (~Rs. in Crores) H2FY21 H1FY22 H2FY22 FY23 FY24 Beyond FY24
DLF - GIC Residential JV, Central Delhi 8 12,000 - 15,000 - - 2.1 - - 6.0
DLF - Hines/ADIA Offices JV, Gurgaon 3 6,000 - 7,000 - - - - - 3.0
Value Homes,
Gurgaon/Tricity/
Chennai
9 4,500 - - 3.1 2.1 3.6 -
Commercial,
DLF 5/ New
Gurgaon/Delhi
2 2,400 - 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.6 -
NOIDA IT Park 3.5 2,000 - 5,000 - - - 0.3 - 3.2
Premium /
Luxury Housing
10 10,000 - 10,500 1.5 1.2 0.6 3.9 3.0 -
Total 35 36,000 - 40,000 1.5 1.7 6.6 6.4 7.2 12.2

Source: Investors’ Presentation

Rental Business to Witness High Growth Over Medium-to-Long Term
The rental business is primarily carried out by DLF Cyber City Developers Ltd. (DCCDLA), a material subsidiary. As of March 2021, DCCDL had an operational portfolio of 34.2 msf which includes office portfolio (30.3 msf) and retail portfolio (3.9 msf). In FY21, rental revenue recorded a marginal increase to Rs. 3,029 crores, mainly due to addition of new assets. The average occupancy level stood at 88%. Due to the pandemic, retail segment was adversely impacted and the company offered a support package to its retail tenant partners.

DLF maintains a positive outlook towards its rental business and the management has expressed confidence that the DCCDL's annual rental income would reach Rs. 4,500 crores over the next three years. On the back of positive outlook, the company continues to build new assets. Currently, DCCDL has commenced Phase-I construction of office projects in Downtown Gurugram (1.5 msf) and Downtown Chennai (3.1 msf). Further, the construction of Chennai Block 12 is completed and the rentals will start coming in from current fiscal. The company’s total portfolio size will increase to 39.1 msf and if we consider the assets of acquired entity’s – One Horizon Centre – leasable assets of ~0.8 msf, then total portfolio size will increase to ~40 msf.

The pre-leasing in Downtown Gurugram and Downtown Chennai is strong despite 2-3 years from commissioning. As of June 2021, pre-leasing of Downtown Gurugram was ~0.5 msf or ~33% and pre-leasing of Downtown Chennai is 0.77 msf or ~25%. The rental business witnessed some temporary disruptions in FY21 due to the pandemic and ripple effect was seen in vacancy levels, which increased to 11%-12%. The company offered rental waivers to retail tenants during the fiscal which helped them overcome the challenging times and helped the company to retain large part of existing tenants. The occupancy for FY22 could be in the similar levels of FY21 and pick up is expected in new leasing by FY23 aided by a successful rollout of the vaccination drive across the country.

Healthy Balance Sheet
As of June 2021, receivables stood at Rs. 3,361 crores compared to construction payables of Rs. 1,075 crores. along with pending receivables, DLF has finished unsold inventory amount to ~Rs. 5,286 crores. With improved cash generation from operations in recent quarters as well as reduced finance cost aided by ~160 bps reduction in the interest cost since March 2020, net debt levels stood at Rs. 4,745 crores as on June 2021 vs. Rs 5,267 crore as on March 2020. It also has healthy available cash and bank balances of Rs. 1,288 crores at DLF Group level.

Outlook & valuation

DLF witnessed a strong uptick in demand in residential business in the later part of FY21 and the momentum continued in Q1FY22. The company has identified a strong pipeline of 35 msf of new products in residential segment with a revenue potential of Rs. 36,000 – Rs. 40,000 crores in medium-to-long term. In rental business, DLF continued its focus on growth through better yields and new products. The occupancy is expected to pick up aided by a successful rollout of the vaccination drive across the country. DLF’s significant land bank provides an opportunity to capitalise on the expected real estate upcycle. Also, its strong liquidity position and healthy balance sheet adds to the confidence. At the current market price of Rs. 350, the stock is trading at EV/EBITDA of 37x on FY23E basis.

Financial Statement

Profit & Loss statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Net Sales 8366.09 6082.77 5414.06 6746.68 7541.45
Expenditure
Material Cost 4346.74 2902.78 2498.46 3110.22 3476.61
Employee Cost 351.62 356.72 313.78 269.87 263.95
Other Expenses 1526.22 1688.26 1184.03 1302.63 1375.84
EBITDA 2141.51 1135.00 1417.80 2063.96 2425.05
EBITDA Margin 25.60% 18.66% 26.19% 30.59% 32.16%
Depreciation & Amortization 224.63 200.30 159.48 164.00 181.00
EBIT 1916.87 934.70 1258.32 1899.96 2244.05
EBIT Margin % 22.91% 15.37% 23.24% 28.16% 29.76%
Other Income 663.32 805.37 530.83 650.00 650.00
Interest & Finance Charges 2061.87 1426.94 853.36 712.06 622.16
Profit Before Tax - Before Exceptional 518.33 313.13 935.78 1837.91 2271.90
Profit Before Tax 645.65 653.46 839.57 1837.91 2271.90
Tax Expense 277.37 2132.67 362.28 588.13 727.01
Effective Tax rate 53.50% 681.10% 38.70% 32.00% 32.00%
Exceptional Items 127.32 340.33 -96.21 - -
Net Profit 368.27 -1479.21 477.29 1249.78 1544.89
Net Profit Margin 4.40% -24.32% 8.82% 18.52% 20.49%
Consolidated Net Profit 1319.20 -583.20 1093.60 1935.44 2310.04
Net Profit Margin after MI 15.77% -9.59% 20.20% 28.69% 30.63%

Balance Sheet

As of March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Share Capital 441.44 495.06 495.06 495.06 495.06
Total Reserves 32385.00 33951.68 34848.87 35603.58 36653.41
Shareholders' Funds 33617.13 34465.15 35364.21 36118.93 37168.75
Non Current Liabilities
Long Term Borrowing 5614.38 3890.12 3294.80 3268.53 3268.53
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities -1937.18 246.54 540.76 540.76 540.76
Long Term Provisions 44.88 60.20 50.85 50.85 50.85
Current Liabilities
Short Term Borrowings 9163.71 2439.36 2344.90 2344.90 1844.90
Trade Payables 1277.20 1056.26 1234.46 1286.32 1511.35
Other Current Liabilities 15378.62 12152.53 9150.99 8127.26 8127.26
Short Term Provisions 33.66 86.70 53.77 53.77 53.77
Total Equity & Liabilities 64545.54 55890.46 53487.65 53244.22 54019.08
Assets
Net Block 2625.90 2591.41 2301.80 2537.80 2756.80
Non Current Investments 24666.23 20727.94 21583.16 21583.16 21583.16
Long Term Loans & Advances 3234.08 3458.61 2834.22 2834.22 2834.22
Current Assets
Currents Investments 34.20 433.35 716.82 716.82 716.82
Inventories 22008.55 22486.24 21086.64 20823.19 19572.78
Sundry Debtors 832.28 720.39 581.29 730.94 858.81
Cash and Bank 4855.37 2420.43 1406.87 1041.24 2719.63
Short Term Loans and Advances 3016.80 2568.09 2378.35 2378.35 2378.35
Total Assets 64545.54 55890.46 53487.65 53244.22 54019.08

Cash Flow Statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Profit After Tax 368.27 -1479.21 477.29 1249.78 1544.89
Depreciation 224.63 200.30 159.48 164.00 181.00
Changes in Working Capital -24.12 -1064.35 -702.02 165.65 1347.56
Cash From Operating Activities 2043.00 355.68 1460.18 1579.43 3073.45
Purchase of Fixed Assets -604.14 -206.31 -13.51 -400.00 -400.00
Free Cash Flows 1438.86 149.38 1446.67 1179.43 2673.45
Cash Flow from Investing Activities 4.85 6516.82 153.96 -400.00 -400.00
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds 38.24 -9189.92 -900.86 -1050.00 -500.00
Equity Dividend Paid -169.56 -807.71 -198.75 -495.06 -495.06
Cash from Financing Activities 875.42 -9521.75 -2183.79 -1545.06 -995.06
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow 2923.26 -2649.25 -569.64 -365.63 1678.39
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 1344.95 4266.34 1608.37 1035.24 669.61
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalents 4266.34 1608.37 1035.24 669.61 2348.00

Key Ratios

Year End March 2019 2020 2021 2022E 2023E
Basic EPS 5.84 -2.36 4.42 7.82 9.33
Diluted EPS 5.84 -2.36 4.42 7.82 9.33
Cash EPS (Rs) 6.84 -1.55 5.06 8.48 10.06
DPS 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
Book value (Rs/share) 148.90 139.24 142.87 145.92 150.16
ROCE (%) Post Tax 2.43% -22.67% 2.68% 4.19% 4.68%
ROE (%) 3.92% -1.69% 3.09% 5.36% 6.21%
Inventory Days 911.00 1335.00 1469.00 1250.00 1000.00
Receivable Days 46.00 47.00 44.00 44.00 44.00
Payable Days 54.00 70.00 77.00 77.00 77.00
PE 33.87 -58.34 64.97 69.32 56.08
P/BV 1.36 0.99 2.01 2.40 2.33
EV/EBITDA 27.10 34.60 53.32 44.37 36.87
Dividend Yield (%) 0.99% 1.46% 0.70% 0.57% 0.57%
P/Sales 5.46 5.59 13.12 12.84 11.49
Net debt/Equity 0.37 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.07
Net Debt/ EBITDA 5.76 4.62 3.20 2.40 1.14
Sales/Net FA (x) 3.13 2.33 2.21 2.79 2.85