StockAxis

Triveni Turbine Ltd

Engineering - Industrial Equipments

Emerging Market Leaders

CMP
Rs. 439.20
Rating:
Buy
September 18, 2023

Stock Info

BSE
533655
NSE
TRITURBINE
Bloomberg
TRIV:IN
Reuters
TRVT.NS
Sector
Engineering - Industrial Equipments
Face Value (Rs)
1
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
32
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
13,816.52
52w H/L (Rs)
444.35 - 221.40
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
1,259,172

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Jun)
%
Promoter
55.84
FIIs
26.79
DIIs
12.56
Public & Others
4.82
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
10.28
4.72
96.62
Sensex
3.51
7.82
13.19
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

Triveni Turbine Ltd Sensex
Triveni Turbine Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Strong order inflows to spur growth for Triveni Turbines

Company Profile

Triveni Turbines Ltd (TTL) is the largest manufacturer of industrial steam turbines in the >5 MW to 30 MW range globally. The company designs and manufactures steam turbines up to 100 MW and delivers robust, reliable, and efficient end-to-end solutions. The larger end of the range – above 30 MW to 100 MW, is addressed through GETL, a majority held globally exclusive JV with Baker Hughes General Electric, a GE company. The company provides renewable power solutions, specifically for biomass, independent power producers, sugar and process co-generation, waste-to-energy, and district heating. The company’s steam turbines are used in diverse industries, ranging from sugar, steel, textiles, chemical, pulp and paper, petrochemicals, fertilisers, solvent extraction, metals, palm oil to food processing and more. Apart from manufacturing, the company provides a wide range of aftermarket services to its own fleet of turbines as well as turbines of other makes supported by its team of highly experienced and qualified service engineers that operate through a network of service centres.

Investment Arguments

Leading position in domestic market

TTL holds a dominant position with around 60% market share in the sub-30 MW domestic steam turbines market, aided by a healthy pipeline of orders and strong research, development and engineering capabilities. Further, with the recent revival of capex cycle in various end-user industries, including captive power plants and waste heat recovery systems, renewable power solutions, sugar, process co-generation and waste-to-energy systems, company is poised to see strong growth in the coming years.

Geographically diverse presence across various end-user markets with healthy current order book position

TTL’s steam turbines are used in diverse industries, ranging from sugar, steel, cement, textiles and chemicals to pulp and paper, fertilisers, distillery, waste-to-energy, biogas, palm oil and food processing. The company’s presence in South Asia, the Middle East and some African markets has been relatively long. In the last few years, it has expanded its presence across markets like Europe and South America. TTL’s current order book stands at Rs. 1,405 crores as on June 30, 2023lends strong medium-term revenue visibility, given that an order’s average execution tenure is six to 12 months.

Focus on exports and refurbishing markets supports profitability

TTL’s operating profits are supported by a healthy proportion of after-market sales (where the company sells spares and servicing for its own, other turbines and other rotating equipment) and exports, wherein contributions are higher than the domestic product segment. The after-market business has been boosted by TTL’s expanding presence and growing refurbishment needs for existing equipment for better efficiency.

Q1FY24 Financial Performance

For the quarter ended Q1FY24, Triveni turbines delivered impressive earnings growth as company reported highest ever consolidated net sales that rose 45% YoY to Rs.376 cr. On the operational front, company reported highest ever EBITDA that surged 50% YoY to Rs.84 cr with a margin of 22.4%, an increase of 70 bps YoY. PAT for the quarter surged by 59% to Rs.61 cr YoY. The company saw a robust order book growth of 27% YoY to Rs.453 cr. Record outstanding carry forward order book as on June 30, 2023 of Rs. 1405 cr, an increase of 31.4% y-o-y. Order booking for Q1 FY 24 increased by 20% YoY with demand from a diverse set of industries such as Sugar, Distillery, Steel, Independent Power Producers, Oil & Gas.

The inquiry book has increased by ~56% y-o-y for the domestic market in the first quarter, while overall inquiry book has grown over 22% y-o-y. International market contributes more to the inquiry order book.

Total consolidated outstanding order book stood at Rs. 1,405 crores, up 31% y-o-y. The domestic outstanding order book stood at Rs. 796 crores, up 27% y-o-y. The export outstanding order book stood at Rs. 609 crores, up 38% y-o-y, and contributed 43% to the closing order book.

The company’s Sompura facility can produce 300 turbines and hence, the company does not require any major capex for at least 5 years.

Global market share (barring China and Japan) of TTL stands at ~22- 24%, while domestic market share stands at 45-50% for 0-100MW turbines.

Aftermarket business has been expanding beyond industrial steam turbines to other rotating equipment and driving growth in other higher value-added components.

The company sees a lot of opportunities in renewable energy power generation, in terms of biomass or waste solid municipal waste as feedstock or in waste heat recovery.

Key Risks & Concerns

· Slower-than-expected project execution in domestic and international markets due to various reasons such as pending approvals and clearances.

· Weakness in domestic investment could affect growth and award of projects, posing a downside risk.

· Unexpected political changes in some of the developed countries, trade barriers, and conflict in the Middle East are some risks that can affect the company’s performance.

Outlook & Valuation

TTL is the market leader in steam turbines (of up to 30 MW). Post its exit from JV with GE, the company is focusing on increasing its market share in the high-margin 30-100 MW export market directly. TTL’s Q1FY24 performance has been strong on all fronts. Increasing traction in aftermarket services and exports is a healthy sign as this would also lead to better profitability. The inquiry pipeline is promising in both the 0-30 MW and 30-100 MW segments in the domestic and international markets, respectively. Further, climate change mandate in its key export markets will also drive growth for its products. The company has undertaken capital expansion and is working on strengthening its supply chain and sales network to cater to growing demand and increase its market share.

The company is venturing into the API market, which along with its focus on exports and aftermarket segments is expected to lead to strong order booking with better margins going ahead. The company sees strong growth opportunities in sectors such as cement, pharma, steel, and distillery in domestic markets and internationally in sectors such as steel, wasteto-energy, distillery, food processing, and cement WHRS.

At CMP of Rs.439, the stock is trading at 41.6x FY25E and hence, we recommend BUY on the stock.

Consolidated Financial Statements