StockAxis

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd

Electric Equipment

Little Masters

CMP
Rs. 79.80
Rating:
Buy
May 30, 2023

Stock Info

BSE
532928
NSE
TRIL
Bloomberg
TRIL:IN
Reuters
Sector
Electric Equipment
Face Value (Rs)
1
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
13
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
1,081.33
52w H/L (Rs)
82.25 - 25.05
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
928,497

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 31-Mar)
%
Promoter
74.91
FIIs
0.02
DIIs
Public & Others
25.07
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
21.32
36.88
174.92
Sensex
2.43
6.59
12.37
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd Sensex
Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Robust Order book ~ Rs 1773 crores provides revenue visibility

Company Profile

Transformer & Rectifiers India Ltd. (TRIL), was incorporated by Mr Jitendra Mamtora in 1994. The company manufactures electrical transformers up to 1200 kV class and reactors, which have diverse end users from multiple industries such as power transmission & distribution and industrial/commercial sectors.

The company’s product portfolio includes an entire range of transformers including power transformers up to 500 MVA, 1150 KV class and distribution transformers up to 5 MVA, 33 KV class. Additionally, it also has a presence in the manufacturing of induction, electric arc furnace, and rectifier transformers. It has strong in-house design & technical expertise; combined with technical collaboration/JV relationship for 765 kV transformers & reactors. It has a diversified customer base in India, coupled with an international presence in over 20 countries. A total of 50% of revenue comes from utilities (like state electricity boards, PGCIL, and Railways), 44% comes from industrials that include renewables, and 6% from exports including third-party exports – utilities & power.

Investment Rationale

·        Revival in capex cycle to bode well for transformer players

Activity in broad system-wide indicators like projects under planning and tendering/awarding activity are at all-time highs and clearly indicate the resumption of the capex cycle has multi-fold legs in the offing. For CY23 and beyond, coupled with the traditional segment, we expect capex in power T&D, renewables, data centres, process industries, and capex led by various PLI schemes, to see robust capex from state governments, private players, and PSUs. We believe TRIL is the major beneficiary of capex revival.

·        Robust Order book ~ Rs 1773 crores provides revenue visibility

As on 31st March 2023, the company reported an order book of Rs 1773 crores. During Q4 FY23, the company received an order inflow of Rs. 393, out of which Rs. 164 Cr belongs to a Central Utility and Rs. 96 Cr belongs to 2 well-known Indian Private Companies. Additionally, the company has also participated in the bidding process of state utilities, central utilities, EPCs, Private, TBCB tenders, etc. for more than Rs. 3000 Cr. during the quarter.

·        Capacity expansion to meet growing demand

The company has announced a Capex plan of Rs 70 crores for FY24. This Capex plan will focus on enhancing the production capacity in the Changodar Plant.

·        Focus on exports & new business to improve margins

The company is aggressively targeting export markets like Middle East, Russia, Africa, and the US (for specialised transformers) for enhancing export segment revenues. TRIL has also hired reputed personnel for spearheading and growing the export business. The company has already participated in large tenders in the Middle East markets, which can drive inflows and revenues for FY24E. Export orders generally have the best gross margin profile (30-31%) vis-à-vis domestic private (24%) and SEB orders (20% gross margins), which will have a positive impact on margins from FY24 onwards. Going ahead, with a rise in the share of exports and higher operating leverage, we expect margin improvement for FY23E and FY24E.

The company is focussing on developing niche business segments of private players that offer better margins.

 

Financial Analysis

Past five-year financial analysis (FY18-FY23)

The past five-year Revenue CAGR of the company is at 7.14%. The five-year average EV/EBITDA is 7x. In FY23 the revenue of the company was Rs 1381 crores, an increase of 20% on a YoY basis. The EBITDA for the year was Rs 121 crores, which increased by 70% YoY. EBITDA margins of the company are at 9%, increased by 300 bps as compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year. PAT for the year was Rs 42 crores, which increased by 200% on a YoY basis.

Q4 FY23 Financial Analysis

For the quarter ended 31st March 2023, the revenue of the company was at Rs 434 crores, increased by 32% on a YoY basis. EBITDA for the quarter was at Rs 33 crores, an increase of 5% on a YoY basis. EBITDA margins are at 7.62%, increased by 286 bps. PAT for the quarter was at Rs 9.6 crores, which increased by 2495% on a YoY basis.

Risk & Concerns

·        Susceptible to raw material price fluctuation

Copper, silicon steel, cold rolled grain oriented (CRGO) steel, and transformer oil are key raw materials required for operations. Their prices are volatile in nature. Any significant rise in raw material prices are likely to have a material impact on the profitability of the company.

·        Slowdown in Industrial Capex

TRIL is a key beneficiary of the energy transition, private capex revival, and PLI initiatives of the government in the manufacturing space. Reduction in Industrial Capex may impact the growth of companies in such sectors.

Outlook & Valuation

We believe the company is the key beneficiary of the energy transition, private capex revival, and PLI initiatives of the government in the manufacturing space. A strong order book provides revenue visibility.  We believe TRIL’s profitability will improve going forward due to the following factors Increasing its presence in International Markets, maintaining a judicious mix of Generation, T & D, and Industrial Transformers, developing niche business segments of private players that offer better margins, Increasing market share in Furnace & Rectifier Transformers, Optimal utilization of Manufacturing facilities, and backward integration of products with a higher markup. At a CMP of Rs 82, the stock is trading at a PE of 11x its FY24 E earnings. We recommend, a ‘BUY’ rating to the stock.

Consolidated Financial Statements