StockAxis

CIE Automotive India Ltd

Forgings

Emerging Market Leaders

CMP
Rs. 477.30
Rating:
Buy
May 24, 2023

Stock Info

BSE
532756
NSE
MAHINDCIE
Bloomberg
MACA:IN
Reuters
MAHN.NS
Sector
Forgings
Face Value (Rs)
10
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
379
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
17,177.53
52w H/L (Rs)
469.90 - 168.00
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
18,062,035

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 31-Mar)
%
Promoter
68.90
FIIs
8.62
DIIs
11.19
Public & Others
11.27
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
24.77
16.88
150.86
Sensex
3.21
3.99
14.17
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

CIE Automotive India Ltd Sensex
CIE Automotive India Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Growing demand and robust order book to spur growth for CIE Automotive

Company Profile

CIE Automotive Ltd – a multi-technology, multi-product automotive component supplier with a strong focus on innovation, quality, and sustainability. The company is headquartered in Mumbai and has operations in over 20 countries, including Spain, Germany, Brazil, Mexico, China, and the USA. CIE Automotive has a global presence and is listed on the stock exchange in Madrid.

Apart from its strong presence in forgings, CIE Auto is among the largest ductile iron casting and compression moulded auto component manufacturers in India. CIE Automotive offers a wide range of products and services, including forgings, casting, machining, and assembly of components for engines, transmission, chassis, and other applications. The company also provides design and engineering services, as well as research and development capabilities, to meet the evolving needs of the automotive industry. Its global presence, diverse product portfolio, and commitment to customer satisfaction make it a trusted partner for customers in the automotive industry.

Investment Arguments

Well-diversified product portfolio, geographical reach, clientele and industry segments

CIE Auto is present across six business segments—forging, stamping, casting (iron and aluminium), gears, composite and magnetic products, and caters to multiple automotive segments including the PV, CV, tractors, 2W and off-highway segments. Further, CIE is well diversified in terms of its geographical revenue base, including India (contributed 64% of revenues in CY2022) and Europe (contributed 36% of revenues in CY2022), as well as in terms of clients, catering to several reputed automotive OEMs in India as well as Europe like Bajaj Auto, Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Hyundai, KIA, Renault, Volkswagen, JLR etc.     

Strong growth and margin outlook in both India and Europe

India business will continue to outperform industry production, led by (1) sustained volume ramp-up by M&M, Maruti and TTMT, (2) share gains led by new order wins from Hyundai-Kia, John Deere and for EV products from M&M and TTMT, and (3) addition of new customers. While the 2W industry has been under pressure, management expects recovery to follow over the next 1-2 quarters (both in domestic and exports), albeit over a low base. Recovery in 2W volumes should positively impact the financials of wholly-owned subsidiaries – Aurangabad Electricals (AEL), Bill Forge (Bangalore), and Magnets (Pune). CIE India remains strongly focused on increasing the share of EVs, with (1) active orders from Tata Motors and Mahindra in PVs and (2) 3W EVs from M&M (market leader with around 65% share). In Europe, new order wins will likely drive growth ahead of industry production.

Robust Order Book to drive Indian Operations

The company has won new orders worth ~Rs 1,000 Cr in India. Moreover, in the EV segment, it has won new orders worth Rs 300 Cr. Order include more than 10 new customers and new platforms from the existing customers.

 

Growing demand across all verticals

To meet this growing demand, MCIE is enhancing capacities across all verticals – Bill forge, CIE Hosur, AEL, Gears, and Magnetics Division, which will aid in its revenue growth moving ahead. The company is adding capacities across the forging, stamping, machining and magnetic segments, which should drive its revenue growth in the coming quarters.

Increasing Content per share from Existing Clients and addition of new clientele

CIE has seven operational verticals located strategically close to OEMs in India and Europe. Increased share of business from existing customers ((M&M, Maruti, Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors, Kia, Hyundai) and addition of new customers—Bosch, Royal Enfield, among many others will enhance content per share from existing clients and addition of new clients which, in turn will drive strong earnings growth for the company.

Q1CY23 Financial performance

CIE automotive ltd reported healthy earnings growth for Q1CY23. Consolidated revenues grew by 18% to Rs. 2440 cr driven by the outperformance in the EU business which grew by 28% as well as Indian operations which grew by 12%. Consolidated EBITDA saw a strong growth of 36% to Rs.381 cr YoY. Consolidated EBITDA margins expanded by 200 bps YoY to 15.6% (from continuing operations) on the back of various cost co efficiencies and energy price reductions; Adjusted Net profit witnessed a good growth of 32% to Rs.279 cr YoY on the back of strong topline growth, healthy demand trends and better operational efficiency.

Key Risks & concerns

Slower-than-expected 2W Demand Recovery – In Indian operations, the 2W segment forms 23% of MCIE’s total revenue. As Bajaj Auto is the main clientele, fall in demand from Bajaj may impact the topline growth for the company.

Changing EU Regulatory Norms: The European Union has set a target of removing ICE vehicles completely by 2035. 75% of EU business comes from Forgings business (earlier 50%) which is exposed to electrification risk. Moreover, any prolonged slowdown in the European market may impact the company’s business.

Energy Price volatility – As the company is mainly in the forging business (process oriented), any volatility in the energy prices tends to have a negative impact on the company’s operational performance. 

Outlook & valuation

CIE Automotive reported good earnings growth for the quarter ended Q1CY23. We believe that company is poised to deliver good growth in the coming quarters on the back of (a) Improved share of business in India operations; (b) Improving outlook of the PV business in Europe and hiving off of a lower- EBITDA margin trucking segment (c) Strong FCF generation and negligible debt on the balance sheet d) Increased business with order wins (Rs 1000 cr annually in CY22) in India owing to localization, import substitution (specifically for EV products), the addition of new customers, and shifting of production to India as a hub for export, which is based on China/Europe + 1 policy will aid the company to outperform its peers.  At CMP of Rs.475, the stock is trading at 14x FY25E (EPS – Rs.34) which appears reasonable citing strong growth prospects. Hence, we recommend BUY rating on the stock.

Consolidated Financial Statements